River spot with AQo
Home game, 5/10, $20 straddle has been on all night.
V is tag middle aged guy, solid but straightforward player. In a previous hand he opened LJ and got 2 cold calls, and Hero 3bet AQo in the BB and V folded AJs. Most of the rest of the table puts money in in that spot, so I’d say he’s on the tighter end of the spectrum for a loose home game.
Hero has an active image, I put a $200 double straddle and a $320 quintuple straddle early in the game and have been raising a fair bit.
OTTH: 5/10/20, $4000 effective
V opens LJ $80, folds to hero in straddle, hero calls with AQo.
Flop: Qs9h8d ($195)
Hero checks, V bets $150, Hero calls.
Turn: Qs9h8d6d ($495)
Hero checks, V checks.
River: Qs9h8d6d3h ($495)
Hero?
8 Replies
Either fold or raise pre. Both are about even (since he's considered on the "tighter side").
I hate to see it go check check so bet around 215 (not too low to induce a possible bluff, unless you don't think he's ever bluffing).
You should have raised pre, but here we are. Bet the river about half pot, fold to a raise (sadly).
Your call pre is fine. I would bet 1/3 on river.
I think preflop is fine 200BB deep with AQo.
I probably check-call river to any non-ridiculous size. You haven't shown much interest in the hand; LJ can value bet plenty of worse hands and may well bluff a lot of he thinks he can get you off a medium pair. That said you could also get this hand very happily and expect to get called by many worse hands. If you think this guy is on the tighter side then perhaps he's less likely to bluff or value bet thinly which could make betting superior.
By the turn, you have a lot of sets and straights. He should certainly be betting his sets and straights.
He might check kk or aa, but might not. I think he has a lot of other stuff which mostly has SD value.
I don't like check call cuz, he might now feel obligated to bet KK, AA and perhaps Aq or kq. But he will check Tt Jj and maybe weaker Qs.
1/3 is good to get called by those but I think just under 1/2 gets called as much or close. Looks a little more like a bluff, and doesn't invite the odd bluff raise as much. Assuming we fold t raise.
I think pre-flop is good. 3bet is fine too. Folding seems way too tight in a home game setting.
I also prefer bet to check here. I don't think Villain is very likely to bluff if we check. I also think it is pretty unlikely that Villain has a better hand. Does no one else like betting bigger here? Hero has a loose/aggressive image and can be defending wide from the straddle. Is Villain really checking back turn to fold a hand like QJ to $350? Betting 1/3 pot does a better job of targeting JJ/TT (and loses less if V has AA or KK) but I think those hands can level themselves into a hero call against $350 too.
By the turn, you have a lot of sets and straights. He should certainly be betting his sets and straights.
He might check kk or aa, but might not. I think he has a lot of other stuff which mostly has SD value.
I don't like check call cuz, he might now feel obligated to bet KK, AA and perhaps Aq or kq. But he will check Tt Jj and maybe weaker Qs.
1/3 is good to get called by those but I think just under 1/2 gets called as much or close. Looks a little more like a bluff, and doesn't invite the odd
I think this is close to a pefect response.
