Good or bad call villain jam not much behind
NLH Tourney 6 players left, local friendly live, blinds go up quickly in 5 mins they double. I have been successfully (bluffs and value) jamming all evening
Villain SB
Hero BB holding AhQs off suit
My stack (effective): 8BB
Preflop action folds to villain who raises to 2BB Hero calls
Flop KcTh9h
villain bets 2BB
hero calls
Turn 3h
Villain all in about 5BB
i call with 4BB left
So the poker theory of why I called happy for you to challenge my logic maybe i’ve missed something:
- preflop I could have re-raised but I wanted to play postflop with decent stack left, otherwise pot committed would have rather jammed
- justifying my call:
- first off pot odds, i am getting 3:1 so that means if i have over 25% equity i should call
- opponent: villain is a loose player who is there for fun - said himself this tourney is hours of entertainment for a cheap entry
- I block the nut flush
- my outs (assuming villain has no flush):
- 9 hearts (8 if drawing), 3 aces, 4 jacks: so 16 or 15 so 30 or 32% equity. Say villain holds AK (not often) that is still 24% ish which is close to breakeven. Say villain has 2 pair plus that’s still roughly 26 % so just breakeven.
- My outs assuming villain has flush:
- 7 hearts so 14% yes significantly less but i thought less likely since i have nut blocker.
I call villain shows T9diamonds (villain misreads hand for hearts lol) river bricks I’m eliminated.
Anything wrong with my reasoning and anything i missed which would suggest this is not a profitable call?
For those interested regarding payout, 1st gets most, second gets slightly less than 1st, 3rd gets buy in back. Out of the remaining 6 players, there were two more big stacks about mine and two that had about half my stack. Maybe i should have thought more about my tourney life and waited for better spot, or is it what it is move on and play the same next time? Basically if did not call not much i could do with 4BB left if i fold, maybe instead AQo jam pre or jam on the flop.
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8bb is not "a decent stack", it is jam or fold territory. Jam pre and you avoid all these problems