Quick pot odds question
If my hand replayer lists my pot odds on the turn at roughly 15% tio make a call and it reveals my odds of making my hand on the river as 28%, was it an incorrect call? The hand was listed at -EV overall, so I'm presuming I was incorrect to call.
CoinPoker Hand #172140671: Hold'em No Limit (₮0.01/₮0.02 CPCC) - 2024/11/09 22:44:52 UTC
Table 'CPR_NL ₮2 I' 7-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Elblop (₮4.46 in chips)
Seat 2: Cusan (₮1.30 in chips)
Seat 3: Bartholomew (₮2.73 in chips)
Seat 4: BostonSwag (₮1.81 in chips)
Seat 5: ITOZADI (₮3.74 in chips)
Seat 6: Stewboy (₮2 in chips)
Seat 7: Cypher83 (₮1.94 in chips)
Bartholomew: posts small blind ₮0.01
BostonSwag: posts big blind ₮0.02
Stewboy: posts big blind ₮0.02
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Cypher83 [As Qs]
ITOZADI: folds
Stewboy: checks
Cypher83: raises ₮0.06 to ₮0.08
Elblop: raises ₮0.16 to ₮0.24
Cusan: folds
Bartholomew: folds
BostonSwag: folds
Stewboy: folds
Cypher83: calls ₮0.16
*** FLOP *** [8s 7d 9s]
Cypher83: checks
Elblop: bets ₮0.34
Cypher83: calls ₮0.34
*** TURN *** [8s 7d 9s] [5d]
Cypher83: bets ₮0.76
Elblop: raises ₮0.76 to ₮1.52
Cypher83: calls ₮0.60 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (₮0.16) returned to Elblop
*** RIVER *** [8s 7d 9s 5d] [3s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Cypher83: shows [As Qs] (a flush, Ace high)
Elblop: mucks hand
Cypher83 collected ₮3.78 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot ₮3.93 | Rake ₮0.15
Board [8s 7d 9s 5d 3s]
Seat 1: Elblop showed [Ks Kd]
Seat 2: Cusan (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Bartholomew (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: BostonSwag (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: ITOZADI folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Stewboy folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Cypher83 showed [As Qs] and won (₮3.78) with a flush, Ace high
1 Reply
Let's suppose you didn't bet the turn, but he went all-in. You would have to call 1.36 to in a pot of 3.78 (I'm subtracting rake). You would need to hit your hand over 36% of the time to make this +EV. So I'm guessing this is part of why the hand is -EV overall, but I don't really know how they are calculating.
But you did bet the turn. And since you then only have to call .60 to win 3.78 you are getting much better pot odds to call. If your bet represents 15% of the final pot, and you have a 28% chance of winning - it is definitely a profitable call.
