GGPoker $100K Weekly Freeroll — Possible RNG Manipulation
GGPoker $100K Weekly Freeroll — Possible RNG Manipulation

GGPoker $100K Weekly Freeroll — Possible RNG Manipulation

I want to bring something to the attention of this community that I believe warrants serious scrutiny. I am not here to rant — I have screenshots, tournament IDs, and a statistical argument. I will let the evidence speak.

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THE EVENT

On March 21, 2026, I participated in the GGPoker $100K Weekly Freeroll (approximately 14,764 players registered). Within the first 3 to 4 minutes of play — Level 1, Blinds 50/100 — I noticed something that stopped me cold.

I opened the tournament leaderboard. The top 10 chip counts looked like this:

Rank | Username | Country | Chips | vs Starting Stack (10,000)
1st | G2dpg | China | 80,000 | 8x
2nd | yanleizhid | China | 70,012 | 7x
2nd | shenwenba | China | 70,012 | 7x
2nd | mtiuyfs | China | 70,012 | 7x
5th | Airbell | China | 60,224 | 6x
8th | qaz0868 | China | 40,048 | 4x
9th | 402338 | China | 35,006 | 3.5x
9th | wanglooo | China | 35,006 | 3.5x

8 out of the top 10 stacks in a 14,764-player field — all Chinese-flagged accounts — accumulated between 3.5x and 8x their starting stack within the first few minutes of a tournament. This is only possible by winning all-in confrontations against full tables on the very first hands dealt.

I have screenshots of the leaderboard. This is not interpretation — it is visible in the images.

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THE HAND EVIDENCE

I also captured three separate hand histories from three different tables, all showing all-in pots won in the first hand:

Table TM5734361227 — yanleizhid wins pot of 70,012 chips
Table TM5733477892 — G2dpg wins pot of 80,000 chips
Table TM5733746488 — Damone wins pot of 80,000 chips

All decided by the flop. All on the first hand of the tournament.

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WHY EXTERNAL COLLUSION (CHIP DUMPING) CANNOT EXPLAIN THIS

This is the part I want the community to think about carefully.

In GGPoker tournaments, players do NOT choose their own tables. Seating is assigned automatically by the platform. There is no mechanism by which a group of players can arrange to be seated together at specific tables.

This means that for chip dumping to explain these results, the players would need to have been randomly assigned to the same tables AND have chosen to dump chips on the very first hand — simultaneously — across multiple independent tables. That is not how chip dumping works operationally, and the statistical probability of it happening by chance is essentially zero.

The only mechanism that can produce simultaneous all-in victories across multiple independently assigned tables is intervention at the platform level — specifically, the RNG delivering winning outcomes to pre-identified accounts regardless of table assignment.

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THE STATISTICS

Starting stacks: 10,000 chips
Full table all-in: 8 players
Approximate probability of winning a full table all-in on the first hand: ~20%

Probability of 8 independent players achieving this simultaneously:
0.20^8 = 0.000000256, or roughly 1 in 4 million

When you factor in the probability of those 8 players all being from the same country in a globally distributed field, the combined probability becomes approximately 1 in 100 quadrillion (10^17).

This is not variance. This is not a bad beat. This is a number that does not exist in the natural distribution of a fair RNG.

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THIS IS NOT THE FIRST TIME

I have reason to believe this pattern recurs in this specific tournament series. I have filed formal complaints with:

- The Gibraltar Gambling Commissioner (GGPoker's licensing authority) — [email][email protected][/email]
- eCOGRA (independent RNG auditor) — [email][email protected][/email]

Both complaints request an independent audit of the RNG logs for the specific tournament IDs listed above, covering all hands dealt during Level 1 on March 21, 2026.

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WHAT I AM ASKING THE COMMUNITY

1. Has anyone else noticed this pattern in GGPoker freerolls or weekly tournaments?
2. Has anyone observed similar chip distributions in the early leaderboard of large GGPoker events?
3. Does anyone with technical knowledge of RNG auditing have insight into whether this type of targeted manipulation is detectable in log files?

I am posting screenshots below. The tournament IDs are verifiable. I am not looking for sympathy — I am looking for people who have seen this before or who can help push for a proper independent audit.

[ATTACH YOUR 6 SCREENSHOTS HERE]

Tournament IDs for reference:
- TM5734361227
- TM5733477892
- TM5733746488

Date: March 21, 2026
Event: $100K Weekly Freeroll
Platform: GGPoker

21 March 2026 at 04:27 PM
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10 Replies



are you gonna tell us a bad beat story that your AA got cracked first hand where everyone went all in preflop and 83suited won ? jesus


I can't follow the logic. You say that this particular outcome will only happen 1 in 4 million, but you could say the same thing for any random outcome in a 13k participant freeroll.


Strange things happen in FREEROLLS!!!


It's a free roll, many players go all-in the first hand. I think all the Chinese players do!


by hvete m

I can't follow the logic. You say that this particular outcome will only happen 1 in 4 million, but you could say the same thing for any random outcome in a 13k participant freeroll.

Then just imagine, what are the odds of exactly this outcome? 1 in a googol perhaps?? Must be rigged right 🙂

Some people always extremely underestimate the chances when numbers get big. I always think this is in interesting fact considering how many decks where shuffled everywhere every time:
It is almost certainly true that a deck of 52 cards has never been shuffled into the same order twice in human history. The number of possible arrangements is 52! (52 factorial), which is roughly 8*10^67, an unimaginably large number greater than the estimated number of atoms in the Milky Way galaxy.


by mesmerized m

are you gonna tell us a bad beat story that your AA got cracked first hand where everyone went all in preflop and 83suited won ? jesus

Quite the contrary — bad luck is part of the game. In these tournaments, I usually fire multiple entries and go all-in with a wider range right from the start.

What really surprised me was something very specific: on the very first hand of the tournament, I saw at least 15 tables where it was basically all-in across the board — every player involved. And in all of those cases, the winner at each table was a Chinese player.

In a 13,000-player field with mixed nationalities, that kind of pattern on the very first hand is what really caught my attention.


Out of a tournament with 1600+ tables you checked how many of them had situations where everyone went all-in first hand...
Does that mean you have checked the first hand of 1600 tables or did you have quick workaround for this?
Because looking at 1600+ tables to check how the first hand went down on a weekly freeroll doesnt seem like a chill afternoon🙂


As 2p2 mods are excelling again. I must clarify

I personally for example do not believe in any ''RNG Manipulation'' nor I think that the original post was implying that..
The RNG is controlled and audited.. runout is random.

Logically, the best way to do anything immorally (which is so unimaginable from GG poker)
Would be if those 8 Chinese accounts dominating were from, superuser bots. Aside from proven superuser ''bugs'' in the software, it is only logic that they would be running them as Chinese, we know that they are running such accounts in a big shade, without any KYC, via agents vpns and overal with very little legitimacy... And the playerbase would ofc. be ''Ah crazy China guy got lucky, let him donk''

They would also be programmed to stack up as much early and then disperse the chips to losing players with greater PVI.....


"logic"

Logic also implies that a business that can make an incredible daily revenue just by running things fairly (no need to make any tweaks/interventions) wouldnt run the risk of losing that position and market share just to get a little more cash out of a weekly freeroll. Especially since that weekly freeroll is such a tiny fraction of weekly revenue.
For reference in 2025 GG paid out 4 billion dollars in a year just on tournament prize money, that is 78 million a week. So logic would argue the 100k freeroll destination isnt worth messing with for them. The cost of implementing this idea

by PrsHarlequin m

They would also be programmed to stack up as much early and then disperse the chips to losing players with greater PVI.....

would likely outweigh the benefits from it. So all in all it would be an insane endeavour from GG with almost zero benefits and huge risk of losing customers, getting lawsuits, losing licenses maybe even claims for damages. So... They would likely be programmed to let poker be poker and just collect all the rake that is being paid everywhere without any interference

But hey, thats just "logically"


Shhhh no one point out. Why would Chinese be contained to one mtt. With most rec players, establishing equilibrium for them (and whoever is the real owner of all). Let him write FREEROLL few more times, seems like he really needs it.

Btw for real how many 100k games are there on a Saturday on GG. Not many, even if real, 78M a week gotta be with spins and everything.

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