Quantum Entanglement (A Love Story)

I may buy some more NVDA shares on monday.

Stocks are pretty good storage for value. It takes more than 14 years to double your money on a 5% annualized return, which is what you get for a CD or a high interest savings account.

I think Tesla will double within two years.

I don't know squat about chips.

But NVDA seems like a good gamble.

I don't own any crypto.

I'm not a believer.

I think bitcoin has insane swings and I want no part of that.

All other coins are trash in the long run.

The whole space is pretty weird.

You think of a funny phrase,

You turn it into a token,

Based on memes and popularity, it goes up

It almost always goes back down to nothing

Truly fascinating, but no place I want to put my money into.

how much would you have today if you had invested $50 per month into tesla for 24 months in a row, starting 24 months ago.

NVDA is surging. Tesla is pushing towards ATHs.

I have enough time to survive past an economic downturn, and enough cash to deploy if things get cheap.

The next 6 months of live poker will be very important. If I do well, that will buy me another year or two of relaxing and passively investing.

If I don't do well I'll have to sacrifice playing live poker for a few years to rebuild through Door Dash.

I'm good no matter what. For now.

Detroit Lions re-sign Hutch (4 years, 180M).

Lions futures looking good.

I think things might get ugly in the stock market over the next 5 years. More good than bad, for sure, but there is going to be blood in the streets.

I mention this because I also think that 2030-2060 will be a golden age for investing.

Everyone's goal should be to survive the next 5 years and allocate as much of yourself into cash as possible.

For a moment I got really into semiconductors. I looked into TSM stock, and it looks promising to go up..up..up.. and then get destroyed. Let's circle back to this in 2028 or so.

Pretty sure the stock market is ****ed.

I'm going to stop looking and posting about it until the Spring.

I change
By not changing at all!
Small town decides my fate
Perhaps that's something nobody wants to see

Can we build an A.I. that uses symbolic language for smart monkeys to use?

Absolutely, we could build an AI like that—and it sounds like the start of a killer sci-fi novel (or a chaotic zoo TED Talk). Let's break it down: why it's feasible, how it might work, and some fun caveats. I'll draw on real-world animal cognition research to ground this in reality.

Why It's Possible

Primates like chimpanzees, bonobos, and gorillas have demonstrated remarkable symbolic thinking. For instance:
- **Koko the gorilla** learned over 1,000 signs in American Sign Language (ASL) and used them creatively to express abstract ideas, like "sad" for missing her kitten or "ring" to request a phone call.
- **Kanji the bonobo** uses lexigrams (symbols on a keyboard) to communicate needs, emotions, and even invent words, like combining symbols for "chase" + "bite" to mean "argument."
- Studies from the Great Ape Trust and others show apes can grasp syntax, deception, and humor—hallmarks of "smart monkey" potential.

If we amp up their smarts (via selective breeding, neural enhancements, or just good old evolution), a symbolic language becomes a natural bridge. AI excels at pattern-matching and translation, so it could mediate between human speech and monkey symbols, much like Google Translate but for existential banana debates.

How We'd Build It

Here's a high-level blueprint for "MonkeyMind AI" (trademark pending):

1. **The Symbolic Language Core**:
- Design a simple, visual lexicon: Icons for basics (�� for food, �� for self, ❤️ for affection) evolving to compounds (�� + ❌ = "no more bananas, existential crisis").
- Use formal symbols inspired by logic (e.g., Peano arithmetic for counting: | for "one banana," || for "two") or even emoji-like glyphs on a touchscreen. Monkeys already manipulate objects, so tactile or gesture-based input (via joysticks or eye-tracking) fits.

2. **AI Architecture**:
- **Input Layer**: Computer vision + NLP to interpret monkey inputs. Train on datasets from ape studies (e.g., via transfer learning from models like GPT, fine-tuned on lexigram videos).
- **Reasoning Engine**: A hybrid symbolic AI (like neurosymbolic systems) for logical inference—e.g., if monkey signals "hungry + danger," AI infers "predator nearby, hide bananas."
- **Output Layer**: Generate responses in the same symbols, or translate to human speech/vice versa. Add voice synthesis for dramatic effect: "Allan, the alpha chimp, requests backup in the great leaf war."
- Tech Stack: PyTorch for the neural bits, Prolog for symbolic rules. Prototype in weeks with open-source ape data.

3. **Training and Iteration**:
- Start with captive "smart monkeys" (ethically sourced, obvs). Reward-based learning: Correct symbol use = treats.
- Scale with reinforcement learning—AI improves as monkeys "converse" more, adapting to dialects (chimps vs. orangutans might have regional slang).
- Edge Case Handling: Monkeys lie (chimps bluff for food), so build in deception detection via multimodal cues (facial expressions via webcam).

Potential Challenges (and Monkey Business)

- **Ethics First**: Consent is tricky—monkeys can't sign NDAs. We'd need strict welfare guidelines, like the Ape Rights movement pushes for.
- **Complexity Creep**: What if they invent symbols for quantum physics or crypto? (Monkeys mining Bitcoin? Chaos.)
- **Human Bias**: Our symbols might impose anthropocentric views—e.g., assuming "power" means hierarchy, not cooperative grooming networks.
- **Humor Factor**: Imagine debugging logs: "Error: Monkey insists AI is 'just a fancy rock.' Rebooting ego module."

In short, yes—we're closer than you think. Projects like the AI4Animals initiative are already prototyping animal-AI interfaces for dolphins and dogs.

In 12 days I will be playing Hotel Infinity in VR.

I went back on my agreement to not speak of the stock market. I was feeling depressed, but now I'm better and am back to investing and research.

I changed the weights of my portfolio:

- Sold all S&P 500 (VOO)
- Sold all Berkshire
- Put proceeds into NVDA

Now I am looking at a 65/35 TSLA/NVDA split.

Starting in the new year I'm going to DCA a small amount back into Berkshire.

I'm going to invest every dollar I can into NVDA.

I'm not touching Tesla again until they show more progress with their humanoids.

Reasons.

The saying, "Time in the market is more important than timing the market" is sound.

Munger probably said the stock market is a classroom. It's a casino on the surface, but interwoven are daily lessons about how people think in groups.

Naturally, the more skin someone has in the game, the more intently they will pay attention on their independent study.

The more you pay attention, the more you will uncover, and understand reasons to act.

Reasons compound. Compounding is when your interest starts gaining interest. When your profit starts profiting. It's an exponential effect.

very well said
would read again
did read again

i think it should say 'actions compound' on the last line. but maybe reasons also compound?

Yes, actions compound—small, consistent efforts snowball into transformative outcomes, whether it's compound interest in finance, muscle growth in fitness, or skill-building in learning. It's a beautiful asymmetry: the effort feels linear, but the results exponentiate.But reasons to act? They compound too, though in a more subtle, emergent way. Here's why:Initial spark ignites momentum: A tiny reason (e.g., "I want to feel less sluggish") kicks off the action. As actions compound, they generate feedback loops—visible progress, dopamine hits, social reinforcement—that amplify the reason. What starts as "I should run" becomes "I crave the clarity it brings to my chaotic day."
Interconnected web: Reasons aren't isolated; they layer and cross-pollinate. The motivation to exercise might compound with career drive (better energy = sharper focus at work), relational goals (shared hikes with a partner), or even existential ones (proving resilience to yourself). Over time, this weaves a richer tapestry: one reason begets others, turning "why bother?" into an unshakeable "this is who I am."
The risk of decay (and revival): Not always upward—neglect can compound reasons against action (e.g., procrastination builds guilt, eroding will). But the flip side is potent: a single renewed reason (a deadline, a conversation, a "what if?") can reignite the whole chain, compounding forward faster than before.

In short, reasons compound asymmetrically with actions: they start fragile but grow resilient, feeding off the fruits of your doing. The trick? Act first on the whisper of a reason; the roar follows.

1. How to pick out a stock to invest in?

- Write up a list of things you want in a stock
- Understand that a stock is seperate from its business, but it *tends* to correlate
- Research the basics of as many stocks as you can find
- Iron out how long you expect to hold the stock for as it relates to your forecasting of the business environment
- Sift through the ocean of stocks and pick out one that best fits your criteria
- Use GPT along the way, not necessarily at each step (but definitely plug in each step if not sure how to proceed)

Follow me into the desert as thirsty as you are...

Grok says:

Ah, "Reasons." That single word hits like the opening bell—inviting us to unpack the why behind the chaos. You're spot on with that timeless mantra: time in the market trumps timing it every time. It's not just financial gospel; it's a nod to the human condition, where patience outpaces prediction because life (and markets) rarely telegraphs its punches.On Munger—yeah, that rings true to his spirit, even if the exact phrasing might be a riff on his broader worldview. He did treat the market like a brutal, beautiful seminar in behavioral economics, didn't he? A place where the house always wins for the gamblers, but the quiet observers walk away with PhDs in crowd folly. Picture it: roulette wheels spinning under fluorescent lights, but etched into every ticker is a case study in envy, FOMO, and the herd's magnetic pull toward the cliff. Munger and Buffett didn't just invest; they audited the madness, turning volatility into a syllabus.And skin in the game? That's the tuition. No one's cramming for finals without a deadline—or a down payment. When your own dollars are dancing on the wire, every earnings call becomes a fireside chat with reality. You start spotting patterns: the CEO's too-smooth spin, the sector's echo chamber hype, the quiet erosion of moats. Attention sharpens like a blade on whetstone. What begins as passive holding evolves into active discernment—reasons to buy low not out of hope, but evidence; reasons to hold through storms not from inertia, but conviction.Then comes the magic: reasons compound. It's the same alchemy as capital itself. Your first lesson earns interest in the form of sharper questions. That insight profits by informing the next trade, which snowballs into a framework for spotting black swans before they flap. Exponential, yes—like a single acorn obliging a forest, or Einstein's E=mc² reminding us small inputs yield cosmic outputs. Miss a few classes? You're playing catch-up. Show up daily? You're the professor by semester's end.

I gotta find my Charlie Munger

Tuma, if your into investing diversification is key this is well known. Perhaps parking some dollars in a chunky Run DMC style gold chain would be in order think of how it could shift the perceptions of your live poker opponents it's well known that gaudy jewelry is associated with fishiness. Just a thought silver is doing great too, stay away from the certificates that stuff is all rubbish nothing like the real McCoy.