Speech play, donk overbet river, exposed card on river, nut straight vs rivered 3 flush
Game is 5/5/25, time rake only. 5 handed.
Villain is a very loose recreational player that plays 4-5 days per weak. Villain is a business owner with a very high disposable income. Bluffy, punty, binky.
Hand history: several sessions ago I showed a bluff where I raised to 3.2k after Villain donked on a and straight flush completing turn for 800 into 1,000. Villain snap folds. Hero shows him AsQh for A high with the nut flush draw and blocker. Hero also has tons of hours with villain, but this one sticks out as a relevant meta hand.
5 handed. 4.2k effective. First to act in CO raises to 65 with AhQs. Fold, villain in SB raises to 200, folds to hero, call.
Flop: 435 KsTc3c, v bets 175. Hero calls
Turn $785 KsTc3cJh, v checks, hero bets 400. I meant to go 3/4 pot but miscalculated pot. V calls.
River $1,585 KsTc3cJh8c, villain now donk leads for $2.2k. Hero tanks. Hero asks villain what he wants me to do. Villain at first looks comfortable. Villain starts to engage in conversation comfortably. Villain says he will show me one card for $100. He starts to turn over his hand, but doesn't expose it to me yet. It is evident that he wants to expose the card on the bottom which is face down, as he can expose it and hide the other card behind it.
I tell him fine I will pay you $100, but I want to see the card on the top. Villain says fine, but proceeds to show me the card on the bottom anyways which is obviously the Ac. I then tell Villain that isn't what I agreed to, I wanted to see the other card. He seems to play it off as a miscommunication. I then ask him what the other card is. He says I don't know, probably a queen though. I ask him what suit. He says I don't know. I tell him there are only 4 suits in the deck. At this point he is looking nervous. I think the speech play, him exposing the wrong card, and not having good answers prepared for what the other card is may worry him that he has given away too much information.
I also ask, if I fold, will you show. He says yes. But villain routinely lies comfortably. Villain is capable of big bluffs, but I can't recall seeing a big donk overbet bluff from villain before. They are usually with the betting lead, in position, or as a check raise. The dollar amount of the bet is not too big for villain, he has bluffed for significantly more. As a size of the pot it is obviously very big.
Hero?
