1/3 - Flopped QQ Set on a wet board
V is a man in his 50s a bit loosey. Will call pre widely and postflop a bit less wide. Not too passive nor too aggressive. Difficult to define his profile. He is a bit tilted because he reloaded for another $250
Hero. Standard TAG. $350
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Hero opens Q♣ Q♦ on CO to $11, V calls on SB
F ($25): Q♥ A♠ K♠
V checks, H bets $15, V raises to $35, H calls
T ($95): 3♠
V checks, H checks
R ($95): K♥
V checks, H bets $100, V folds
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The idea to bet $100 was to make him pay with flushes or trip kings, if any.
Thoughts on this hand?
3 Replies
Looks fine to me. I usually go a little bigger pre. Flop is fine. Turn might be a bet, but I understand the check. River should be $50 - $60 for value.
3-bet flop is definitely an option. These small flop raises are typically not the nutted hands, but often a good Ax like AJ/AT. Some odd 2pair hands sneak in here too but those hands usually blast flop. You can basically click it back to like $80-90 if you want.
After only calling flop, turn is now a must bet IMO. I'd go $60. You have a hand that can get value on blank rivers after V calls turn, missing this bet makes you miss out on a far larger river value bet. Especially against a guy that's probably not in the mood to fold right now.
I like the big river bet. Random stuff will rarely call smaller bets anyways, so much of his range is Ax/Kx bluff catchers that you make more $ against by betting large.
I would 3bet the flop once he check raises us. He has 200 behind, and since he's tilted he's probably not even folding to a jam.
