AKo OOP vs semi-unknown MAWG, turn is best card in the deck
1/3 NLHE 9 handed
V - Chip leader MAWG. I've seen him once or twice before. I know he's a losing player but he's not as bad as some. He understands to raise with good hands and fold bad ones and ABC but I don't have hardly any history with him and only a few minutes at the table so far to see him play. He never 3-bets pre and has limp/called a few times pre. Covers. UTG.
H sat down a few orbits ago and hasn't been playing well. Ran his first BI into AA when guy who never raises suddenly 3-bet me huge...and got stacked and rebought and is now up to 700$, clawing his way back to even. 700$. BB.
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BTN straddles 6, SB calls, H in BB to 25 with A♥ K♦, V 3-bets to 70 next to act, folds back to H who calls. HU OOP.
Flop 150 - J♣ 9♥ 7♥
H checks, V bets 70, H calls
Turn 290 - K♥
H checks (anyone lead?), V bets 155, H calls
River 600 (405 back) - 2♠
Hero?
Result:
Spoiler
River goes check check and we're good. He shows Q♦ Q♠
I wouldn't necessarily check-fold every flop when we don't spike an A or K. It depends on our stack depth, board texture, our equity, V's bet size, our reads, etc. If we think V is only 3B'ing a fairly tight range, and we flat call, there are many flops that will favor our range over his.
Like, if his range is weighted towards big PP's, and the flop comes 9-high and two-tone, like 9d7c6d, that's a board where we'll have all the sets and 2P combos that V won't have, as well as some good draws. We could rep some strong hands here, and V will hate a lot of run-outs.
Likewise, if the flop comes Ts4c3c, we could have ATcc, TT, A5ss, A5cc, AKcc, AKss, plus JJ and QQ.
On these types of boards, V shouldn't have connected. He may c-bet for value and protection, but he may be check it back a fair bit. If he c-bets huge, and we didn't flop any additional equity, we can easily fold. But if he c-bets small, we can continue.
Occasionally, if the board is really dynamic, like JdTc7d, and should smash our range more than his, we can check-raise as a bluff with AKdd, and put him in the blender. We'll have all the 2P+ on that board, whereas he shouldn't have connected at all, if he's only 3B'ing QQ+.
I like your flat call pre when we have AKo not AKs. I like continuing on the two-heart flop with the Ah. I don't like the river check.
My observation, after reading a lot of your hand histories, is that you might benefit from working on your hand-reading skills. I notice you make some big bets in spots where you should know you're way ahead or way behind and therefore you should be betting smaller, but miss value in spots where you almost certainly have the best hand, like this one.
Working on your hand reading will enable you to size your bets more appropriately for the situation.
