KJs in a 3-bet pot. Going for thin value?
5/5
~$500 effective
SB is a 50-year-old Iranian man who joined a few orbits ago. His tendencies suggest that he's a fish. I haven't seen him chop the SB/BB, and this is the first time we're facing each other HU.
SB raises to $20, Hero(BB) K♦J♦ 3bet to $70, SB calls.
Flop($140) 7♣ 6♣ 4♣
X X
Turn($140) J♥
X, Hero bets $90, SB calls
Turn($320) Q♦
X(~$340 left), Hero - ?
The solver recommends checking the turn, checking the river, basically checking everything. So, I'm here to figure it out.
3 Replies
Turn bet seemed too big. With respect to the river, this exact hand is in the encyclopedia under the heading of "Showdown value."
Yeah, I did something weird. I scooped up all my chips and pushed them across the line, like I’m Teddy KGB, trying to look as bluffy as possible. I was hoping he would make a hero call with a worse Jack or TT/99. That’s what was going through my head during the hand.
Pre - seems fine.
Flop - Even on a monotone board, seems like we can c-bet range IP, for a fairly small size, like ~20% pot, give or take.
I probably bet $30, and fold to a check-raise, unless it's a min-click.
Turn - I don't mind betting our hand for value when he checks twice, but I'm not sure about this size.
Seems like we'd want to go around 1/2 pot, $70. But, it's only $20 more, so...I guess it can't be terrible.
River - I think it's okay to make a nitty check back here.
Something about these older middle-eastern dudes, they always seem to get sticky pre, but they rarely 3B or 4B pre, they just call. Then they show up post-flop, and check-call us to death with some surprisingly strong hands, or some hand that sucked out on the river.
It's amazing to me, how many times I've seen one of these guys go deep in the tank facing a big bet, then end up shrug-calling in a spot like this with AA, KK, AQ, QQ, JJ, or KcQc. Like, it's agony for them to call a big bet when they only have the 2nd or 3rd nuts.
