Top two pairs facing aggression on the turn and river
Hello guys
So I just sat down for about an orbit, and I have played with the villain once before. He is a 50ish man who's a little bit more aggressive than the avg passive live low stake players.
It's 0.5/1 Euro and effective stacks are 200e.
preflop:
Hero raises to 3e with A♦6♦ in MP. (the standard raise has been 3~5 pre)
MP+1 calls, CO calls, BTN calls, and Villain in the BB calls.
flop(15):
6♠3♦2♣
Villain checks and Hero bets 7.
MP+1 calls and Villain calls. The others fold.
Turn(35):
A♠
Villain checks and Hero bets 20. MP+1 folds.
Villain check-raises to 60. And Hero calls.
River(155):
9♣
Villain thinks for a while and bets 90.
Hero?(we have about 130 behind)
8 Replies
seems like an easy call? still beating some of his value.
Preflop is fine; you could go a little bigger but it's not a big deal.
It's a pretty decent flop; there are no likely two pair combos. Villains can have sets and some overpairs - especially the big blind, who's drilling this flop with a decent portion of his range - that's about it. In a 5-way pot when you're out of position against four of the players, I would recommend checking with this hand. You need to be pretty strong to have a plus EV bet here, and TPTK with A6 is not strong enough imo. Even overpairs should be checked here in a 5-way pot most of the time. If you are going to bet then you should use a smaller size, like 20% pot. It's enough to get calls from weaker hands but also it means that if you get raised you have paid the minimum to find out where the other players are at in their ranges. Obviously you don't want to play a large pot with just TPTK with A6 in a 5-way pot.
Sweet turn; it's almost impossible for you to be behind now after nobody raised the flop, unless they were slow-playing a set/straight (extremely unlikely). Turn sizing is fine, and calling the raise is also fine. I don't see much point in 3betting; if villain is bluffing we want him to keep bluffing. If he's somehow value raising a set or straight then we don't want the pot to get any bigger. The most likely scenario is that he has turned an Ax two pair that's weaker than hero's two pair. He's probably going to continue betting that on the river and we can decide then whether to raise him or not.
On the river, it's probably too thin to raise. I don't see many worse hands that can call. I don't think he can realistically have AK/AQ, given the preflop and flop action, and I don't think aces weaker than that will call a significant raise. You're obviously beating all the bluffs, as well as some of the value bets - A3 and A2 - so it's just a call and showdown in my book.
Just for fun, if I had to put him on an exact combo, it would be A♥2♥.
this is a pretty easy call. we're way up in our range on a board where we usually aren't as the PFR. it feels like missed combo spades like 75ss, 43ss, or losing aces up. river is a stone cold brick. we're way stronger than we should be here most of the time so I'm never folding in this spot.
I don't bet this flop unless HU or IP 3 way max. We do have the advantage of being able to barrell ♦ turns but still.
Pre, turn and river are fine if you called. I don't think there are many if any made hands I call the x/r OTT and then fold river to this bet size.
With three opponents behind us, I just check the flop.
As played, turn check raises are usually pretty strong hands. He could have slow played some flopped sets or even a straight. Not folding to the x/r, but proceeding with caution.
Don't think there's any value in raising river. Our hand is a bit too strong to fold. Can't really do anything but call.
You beat some of his range that could think it is ahead. Got to call.
I might consider folding, but given he's more aggressive, I make the sigh call.
If the question is whether to raise the last 40, I wouldn’t. Hand is too strong to fold.