1/2: TPTK facing river minraise
$600 eff
V (whale playing ATC) raises $18 from HJ over a limp, Hero 3! $75 in BB with A♣️K♣️, V calls
Flop ($150): A♠️6❤️4❤️
Hero $50, V calls
Turn ($250): 3♣️
Hero $75, V calls
River ($400): Q♦️
Hero $80, V makes it $170…
I didn’t like sizing up turn and river and narrow his range to stronger hands than AK and wanted to eek out some value from worse Ax but the river raise is literally never a naked Ax from him.
This is also why I hate cbetting small on flop in these spots.
4 Replies
Preflop larger
Flop larger
Turn larger
River regret
pf fine
against a total whale playing and calling anything just pot flop shove turn. he will call with any ace and any draw. maybe any pair.
against anyone else sizing down flop is fine
If you're going to bet that small on the turn, checking would be better. As played, anyone who is a "whale" is not min-raising the river with anything that TP can beat.
Bet bigger on the turn!
As played, I don't see how you can fold to this river sizing. You are calling $90 to win a final pot of $650. Everything about this spot screams that it is underbluffed (river raise, minraise, 3bet pot, Ace high board, facing a triple barrel) but I think the price is still too good. Only need to win 14% of the time here to make money. He is wide pre-flop, the flush draw missed, and you have taken an absurdly small sizing on the turn and river. Feel like there is a decent chance Villain can have AK himself and he is going super small to target KK (which is what it looks like you have when you 3bet pre and bet super small for 3 streets). I wouldn't rule out some total spew here either.
