$1/$2 game in the evening on the Tuesday before Thanksgiving, sometime around midnight.
Villain - Somewhat of a non-descr
Playing against non-nits at $1/$2, I think there is always going to be some percentage of the time that we run into random spew. Any time I try and estimate a range for a villain, I will include some sort of nonsense in there. Against some players, there will be more nonsense and against some, there will be less.
There are a lot of data points in this hand that suggest this spot would be underbluffed: the size of the bet, the table talk, the extremely strong line that you took, the fact that you can have a number of good hands here (flushes, full houses, trips, maybe A3s). A big thing about this spot is that there are no natural bluff candidates for Villain, outside of maybe a few combos of AXhh that float flop. So in order for Villain to be bluffing, he has to be turning a made hand into a bluff, which I think is somewhat uncommon. Villain can certainly have a number of strong hands in this line too, namely nut flushes and 99.
I don't think that the fact that Villain has random spew in his range makes up for everything in the above category. You know that you will have plenty hands that can call this jam (you're never folding a flush here, and I think you have more flushes than most players would in this spot) and you don't need to call that much against an overbet. If you have history against Villain and know he is capable, maybe you can start hero calling hands like AsAx or KsKx.
But I think, in general, making these sorts of hero calls against unknown players at Mohegan Sun $1/$2 is going to be losing tons of money. Overfolding against river aggression might be a small mistake against players finding these sorts of "creative" bluffs, but overcalling against river aggression from the average player in a tight/passive player pool is going to be a huge mistake. Allow yourself to be bluffed occasionally and make money in the long run....
illiteratWarm and comforting brotherly advice has entered the chat....
rickrolli've never seen anyone agonize over making a call and then jamming all in without ever having the nuts...
