AA river jam too thin? 1/3 500eff
Not sure about this river jam. Villian is looser than standard pre, seen him semi bluff all in on turns in past sessions. This session he xr a 6673dd turn vs a 3b and then 3/4 pot jammed river with a FH. I’ve also seen him make some light big river calls. anyways the hand
500 ish eff 1/3
3 limps on button, i go 20 AA (no diamond) on bu, villian in sb calls, all limpers fold
flop 43
J58dd
x, i cbet 20, call
turn 83
J58dd 2x
x, i overbet 110, villian calls after asking how much i have left which is 314
river 314
Qx
x, i jam 313
At the time i felt it was the only bet size, and if he had QJ so be it, but felt Jx could call, some Qx diamonds that makes a pair on the river. I know im value betting myself sometimes. thoughts?
5 Replies
I think its fine, there shouldnt be many river sizings besides allin, with the Ad i could probably find the check back but as played i think jam is fine, sorry he had QJ/55/88 it happens
Isn't it better to have the Ad if you want V to believe you missed NFD and are bluffing ... although people generally don't overbet turn with it. Having the Ad also blocks him from having the NFD, which means he's more likley to have T9/Jx/etc.
I don't see why you can't bet $50 or even $100 on the river, the only reasons to say no are that he's calling so often for that there's no point in sizing down to get more calls.
I don't see how he has much Qx that's worse than your hand, I guess AdQd/KdQd/QdTd. Even if he plays KQo this way to the turn, I don't see him calling the overbet.
Does he have T9s or even T9o? Is the J the Jd?
I would go bigger preflop ... and either bigger or smaller on the turn (probably bigger without the Ad).
River is whatever, given the choice of pot/shove or check then I check.
His table talk suggest to me that he's often got a draw and wants to know if it's good to call and try to hit, then betting big is a mistake and I don't love betting small on this river.
You lose to QJ/T9/QQ/JJ/88/55 and maybe J8s? ... QQ/JJ are the least likely to limp/call pre. but who knows. On the river you beat KQ/AQ/KK/KJ/AJ/JT of those KQ/AQ/KK unlikely to play this way.
It all looks ok to me.
