Bet overpair on turn/river after flop c/r?
This is a 1/2 $300 cap
Hero~$350
SB~$400
BB~$300
Preflop: ($3) Folds to hero in CO who peels KdKh Hero raises to $10 Sb and Bb make the call
Flop: ($30) Q103xxx Checks to hero who bets out for $15 Sb snap check raises to $45 Bb folds hero makes the call
Turn: ($120) 9x Sb checks and hero tank bets $70 Sb tanks for a minute and calls
River: ($260) 5x Sb checks hero ??
5 Replies
No reads on villain? I actually think we lose to more than we beat. Rather check back turn, value bet if he checks on river. We block KQ, and AQ can be 3b off some pre. It's not out of the question that he is conservatively playing TT, 33 QT.
Welcome to the forum, OP. Please don't include results, including your last action and V's response (if applicable). It tends to bias people's advice. I edited them out. Please let the thread go until discussion dies down, or at least 24 hours, before including them.
The c/r could be a 2p+ or a semi-bluff looking to get a free turn card, so I don't hate the turn bet, but once he calls it, I'm pretty happy to check back river. Vs who wil c/r a pretty dry board with something like AQ are rare, so usually we are either beat or aren't getting a value bet called because he missed.
With about a PSB behind in game I probably jam it expecting to get called nearly 100% (from J9 on up) because ‘I thought you had AK and missed’. I will absolutely value own myself here though also so proceed accordingly.
Punting 200bb’s with 1 pr is my trademarked move.
I’m checking turn, he can easily be pot controlling with better, or setting up another check raise.
villain has J9s/TT, or weirdly played Qx. Bet small targeting the larger portion of his range that you beat. he's unlikely to raise seeing as you block the nuts.