2-5 deep with 66, and plans, on JJ54 ... but it's 7 ways
Not going to post all of my reads here, because ya'll don't have time for that, but will try to give a bit more for the main Vs
Also not giving the full hand, but my thoughts and strategy for the river.
V1 Young (22ish) and aggressive, def. has looked at solvers and preflop ranges ... but also ran like god at 1-2 and moved to 2-5 where he's still running well, so is almost certainly too aggressive in spots. Played with him before.
H is on V1's direct left (not an accident), and has been playing 3bet or fold preflop when V1 opens. At this point V1 has almost certainly worked out wtf is going on, but less clear for some of the others. Not sure how many times I've 3bet V1 at this point, at a guess 4-5 times.
H has ~1.7k (V1, V4, V5 cover)
V2 is playing wide and open limping a bunch pre. Pretty sure he's snap called every time I've opened (or 3bet V1) preflop. Generic losing 1-2 player.
Not sure I've ever seen him bluff post.
V3 and V4 bad 1-2 regs. playing way too wide ... both will occasionally bluff post where most bad 1-2 regs. wouldn't, but mainly HU.
V5 Never seen him before, and maybe breakeven or slightly winning 1-2 reg. (seems much better than V2-V4 but is still limping along a bunch and overplaying hands -- but did bluff shove 2x pot on the turn with AQ on KJ65 and got snap called by KJ but binked a T on the river).
V6 played with him a bunch before, at least slightly winning 2-5 player but will with the bad habits of limping along and calling too wide pre.
Has a little over 1k, maybe 1.2k.
On to the hand...
V1 UTG+1 opens to 15 (his std. open)
H UTG+2 sees 66 and doesn't fold, so makes it $35 (my std. 3bet vs. his open)
V2 snap calls
V3, V4 call
V5 in SB calls
V6 calls in BB.
V7 thinks and calls.
Pot: 35*7 = 245
Flop: JJ5 two tone
V5 checks
V6 checks
V7 checks
H checks with one of the suit (I'm range checking here, although not sure how many know that)
V2, V3, V4 all check
Pot: 35*7 = 245
Turn: JJ5 4
V5 bets 60
V6 folds
V7 folds
H thinks for a bit (maybe as long as 20-30 seconds)... This is small, and I might be good, but if everyone behind folds and V5 checks almost any river I'm going to bet a big amount pretending I have AA/KK/QQ and I think V5 will fold slightly better one pair hands (maybe everything except Jx, which he probably almost never has in his river check range).
...so H calls.
Thoughts?
11 Replies
OP: did a flush draw develop on the turn? Thanks!
I think this is way too ambitious against an army of stations who likely expect you to bet overpairs on the flop.
I think I may bet this flop. Obviously not large. We need to clean out equity from a bunch of random overcards and play the turn against a smaller field or HU. We could possibly still have the best hand. We can call a single raise with our gutter.
lol ignore my post. I thought the board was 245 not the pot size
I’m just not battling here 7 way.
You're near-minclicking every V1 open that you choose to enter? That's one way to win friends and influence people... Why not 3X 3! instead of this sizing?
Doesn't your perceived 3! range UTG have some Jx in it? Besides JJ? Certainly Solver Guy's own 3! IP range has plenty of KJ, AJ etc, though maybe not at UTG1. 1/4 sounds apropos then, for reasons already stated in the thread. I take it the turn 4 didn't complete the fd.
SB looks like he has a mid-PP higher than 66, if not a J. Personally, I'm not willing to risk a lot of chips against an unknown on a hand which is pretty "meh" and not getting any better.
I think it's a cool idea to call flop planning to bluff rivers, but the problem is that there are still three players behind and any one of them could have 55, 44, or JX that trapped the flop and is looking to raise here. V5 may even just have the nuts himself when he puts a chunky bet in 7 ways.
I am not sure about pre... I don't know that I would be in such a rush to isolate one of the better players at the table with my middle strength hands (especially because it seems like you are never actually getting heads up) but I also play like a fish preflop, haha.
Not a fan of pre-flop. If you want to play 3bet or fold, just fold this hand. 3betting light doesn't make much sense when there are fish behind who are going to cold call in position. Sounds like V1 is someone who might find a light 4bet too, especially given your dynamic. Personally would flat pre-flop at what sounds like a weak table.
I like the flop and turn play. I agree that you can be good on this turn and that there are some potential bluffing opportunities. You also have 2 extremely clean outs if you're behind which will result in you winning a very big pot. Combine all that with the tiny bet sizing and calling makes sense to me.
I thought you were a good player based on what you write, so wtf are you doing in this hand?
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Grunch:
PRE - I'm guessing V7 limped from UTG, rather than straddling? If so, V1's open seems a tad small. And by extension, your $35 3B seems small, especially since this seems like a fairly loose and splashy table, and you're still in EP. Think I'd make it at least $45, if not $50, with all these clowns left to act behind me.
FLOP - range checking in this spot seems pretty standard. If I think the V's behind us are over-folding to c-bets and / or under-stabbing when action checks to them, I might c-bet small, like less than 1/3 pot.
TURN - I take it V1 in UTG1 folded following V5's bet?
V5's bet sizing is so small, I think we have to continue. If we think he's prone to over-bluffing, I might actually raise here, to put real pressure on the remaining V's to fold, since they'll be getting a really good price to continue by over-calling.
I would think a min-click should do the job, or maybe something just over a min-click, like $150. Doubtful V's 2 through 4 connected with the board in a big way when they all check back the flop.
I'd ask what V5 is supposed to be repping here? We beat 4x and 5x, and 76 (which we admittedly double-block), and 32, if he's getting involved that wide. How much Jx does he really have here, that doesn't donk the two-tone flop, and now decides to bet less than 1/6 pot?
I understand the thinking at play here - flat call this bet, hope V's 2 through 4 fold, and bet big if V5 checks river, but that's asking for a lot of things to happen in sequence.
I'd prefer to turn our hand into a bluff by raising now, to shut V2-V4 out. And if V5 folds, so be it, if we're denying equity from something stupid that catches a miracle river card to make a better hand.
You're near-minclicking every V1 open that you choose to enter? That's one way to win friends and influence people... Why not 3X 3! instead of this sizing?
Doesn't your perceived 3! range UTG have some Jx in it? Besides JJ? Certainly Solver Guy's own 3! IP range has plenty of KJ, AJ etc, though maybe not at UTG1. 1/4 sounds apropos then, for reasons already stated in the thread. I take it the turn 4 didn't complete the fd.
In this position AJo/KJo/QJo aren't opens (well AJo is kind of borderline, and opens sometimes at 100bb-200bb but never at 400bb).
Reason to 3bet smaller is to have a slightly bigger range, and I've been super card dead for hours and completely missing a lot of the flops I've seen.
I did still think 66 was borderline, 88 is snap 3bet, 77 mostly, 55 almost never.
Can certainly understand the advice that we should just fold 66, might have been a mistake to not do that. Would rather pure 3bet 66 than call though.
No, was just the flop FD on the turn.
Grunch:
PRE - I'm guessing V7 limped from UTG, rather than straddling? If so, V1's open seems a tad small. And by extension, your $35 3B seems small, especially since this seems like a fairly loose and splashy table, and you're still in EP. Think I'd make it at least $45, if not $50, with all these clowns left to act behind me.
FLOP - range checking in this spot seems pretty standard. If I think the V's behind us are over-folding to c-bets and / or under-stabbing when action checks to them, I migh
Ugh, my bad ... V7 == V1. No Limp, just V1 opened and then called after BB.
100% was 7 ways to the flop, and I was one.
I did very briefly consider betting 50-65 myself on the flop, but I thought I'd get too many speculative calls and would have little idea where I was at on a bunch of turns. Plus I'm mostly giving up with this hand a lot on flop and on a lot of turns, but 4x wasn't one of them.
Happy to check AA/KK/88- too ... maybe would want to bet with AK/AQ + NFD and QQ/TT (blockers and protection) but hopefully wouldn't.
V5's bet sizing is so small, I think we have to continue. If we think he's prone to over-bluffing, I might actually raise here, to put real pressure on the remaining V's to fold, since they'll be getting a really good price to continue by over-calling.
I would think a min-click should do the job, or maybe something just over a min-click, like $150. Doubtful V's 2 through 4 connected with the board in a big way when they all check back the flop.
I'd ask what V5 is supposed to be repping here? We b
Yeh, min. raising immediately might have been better.
I didn't want to raise bigger, and at the time I thought I wouldn't be raising AJs pure because V5 can have 55/44 and I pretty much don't.
Also not sure V5 ever bets this size with QJ, but it makes a lot more sense with 55/44.
I also didn't want to think for a long time, and my thought that with bet+call everyone behind is already mostly capped and would be almost as honest with this action as with bet+raise (possibly more honest vs. bet+call than bet+minraise).
Yeh, a few things have to go right for the call + river mergebluff to be good ... but I thought it was 80-90% that everyone would fold, due to high probability that someone bet something with Jx or 55 on the flop. And, again, I didn't think V5 would bet so small with a Jx so I'm only really worried about 6 combos. and I thought V5 would stab bet a lot more than he should and then be worried when I call.
Raise turn + bet big on the river looks a bit bluffier, but wins another 60ish, but call turn + bet big on the river looks a lot stronger.
Some chance someone behind checks back TT/99 on the flop and would lean call here but would fold vs. a minraise, but it's difficult to guess.
I wasn't sure what I do on the river if get an overcall ... def. not bluffing as much on the river.
Thoughts about river bluffing ranges: I fold most non-pair hands on the turn (not even sure I call KQs without the FD) and I'm not sure if this is one of the spots I should bluff NFD (or KQs) blocking missed flushes on the river.
Also at the time I thought it was better to have 66/77 call with a flush suit blocking more calls, but it's possible it's better to call without a flush suit for the 2% flush hits and I have basically the nut FH.
My idea at the time is that he's stabbing all pocket pairs (but obviously capped), A5s/A4s and all flush draws. Very possible some random stabs. with blockers in there too.
I thought you were a good player based on what you write, so wtf are you doing in this hand?
Very possible I'm not good, but what would you do differently... fold everywhere?