River decision with TPTK
NL2/5. 9 handed. Main villain at U2 has effective 825. I open UTG to 20 with AsKd. U2, HJ, CO, and BB call.
I don't know much about U2 except he is about 35 and a 2/3 reg who once in a while takes shots at 2/5 game. Before this hand U2 stacked off me in a straddled pot of 50bb effective. Pre I open UTG to 40 and he called at CO w 8s7s. Blinds call. I over-bet flop and he called, turned flush, and hold up...
BB is 2/5 reg, very laggy pre, very inelastic with draws post and willing to call big bets. BB can slow-play very well with nuts, (even oop) especially against aggressive players.
Flop (95) Kh6c4h
I cbet 55 and all call.
Turn (368): 2c
I bet 200. Only U2 and BB call.
River (968): Jc.
BB and I check and U2 goes all-in for 550. BB folds quickly and I?
1 Reply
I probably check turn. And evaluate.
As played, I think we are calling this river. We lose to 35, sets, KJ, bdflush. Tbh, I don't think KJ calls the turn, they most likely folded. 35 might not even be in his preflop calling range.
So villain's range most likely is missed fd, 57, 78, some combo draws like 45hh, and slow played sets.
I understand they'd slowplay flop, but slowplay turn again?
I guess bd flush is also possible, but what bd flush does he have? KQcc? KTcc? 78cc? 57cc?
So yea, his value range is only bdflush+sets. Bluffs are lots of the missed draws.
