Live 1/2 Hand
First post here so apologies if anything is off! Have a hand from live 1/2 that I want some advice on.
starting stack: 190 ish
4♦️5 ♦️
Iām on the button.
CO (young solid reg, says he typically plays 2/5 but the casino I was playing at was closer to his house) raises 10
Hero calls
BB calls
Flop: 7❤️3 ❤️ 7 ♦️
Pot: 30
BB check, CO check, I bet 15, BB folds, CO calls
Turn: 2♣️
Pot: 60
CO check, I bet 40, CO calls
River: 8♠️
Pot: 140
CO check, I jam for 115-120 ish
he snap calls with 88
Aside from the fact that he rivered top boat, was it a profitable river bluff? I would think most live 1/2 players are betting off their overpairs on the flop so at least on the flop and when I bet turn, I didn't really put overpairs in his range. However, after he calls turn, it seems that his range is mostly overpairs or flush draws. Any advice?
10 Replies
you don't have enough stack depth to run a profitable bluff here. 45s is probably just a fold to a 5x raise preflop, but if you're calling you shouldn't be bluffing multiway even when checked to on this flop.
He could have Ace high here and he might call. Or even a 2 or 3 somehow. You just don't have enough left behind to make him fold.
Yeh I would fold pre - you won't flop well enough to justify calling this hand, and there's plenty of times where you flop 2nd pair/bottom pair and get in trouble. Flop bet is fine - on the turn I'd probably just check. I think on the turn it's clear he has a pair most of the time and he won't fold.
At low stakes, people don't travel to the poker room to fold. You make money have having a good hand and collecting from people who won't fold.
So pf, you have a hand that is 20:1 against from making a strong hand on the flop. Given the stack sizes, you don't have enough implied odds to make the call. Therefore it is a fold.
On the flop, you have 3 clean outs to make something on the turn. Generally without a good read, you want to have more outs to start a bluff. So the flop should be a c/f.
The turn is a blank. It clearly didn't hurt the villain who is now telling you they have something. Check/fold again.
The river is whatever, keeping in mind that a signficant portion of his range was not going to fold.
Main advice: Fold preflop.
you don't have enough stack depth to run a profitable bluff here. 45s is probably just a fold to a 5x raise preflop, but if you're calling you shouldn't be bluffing multiway even when checked to on this flop.
He could have Ace high here and he might call. Or even a 2 or 3 somehow. You just don't have enough left behind to make him fold.
I agree probably folding pre looks back in hindsight. However, I feel like a lot of 1/2 players would be betting their overpairs here (obviously this guy is probably much better than the average 1/2 player) so I thought stabbing with 45s (which in theory should be a good bluffing candidate with a gutshot + bdfd) would be okay and could fold out a lot of random overcards that have good equity against me.
At low stakes, people don't travel to the poker room to fold. You make money have having a good hand and collecting from people who won't fold.So pf, you have a hand that is 20:1 against from making a strong hand on the flop. Given the stack sizes, you don't have enough implied odds to make the call. Therefore it is a fold.On the flop, you have 3 clean outs to make something
Would you be betting the hand if it was 45hh? I'm IP on the flop so I suppose you're saying I should xb flop and then fold turn assuming he bets it with his 88. Would you not think he bets most of his overpairs and also AKo? I feel like his range should be somewhat capped given his flop check.
Fold pre, rake is too high to make this a profitable call.
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It would be more profitable to bet 54hh. If nothing else, it disguises your flush.
I agree probably folding pre looks back in hindsight. However, I feel like a lot of 1/2 players would be betting their overpairs here (obviously this guy is probably much better than the average 1/2 player) so I thought stabbing with 45s (which in theory should be a good bluffing candidate with a gutshot + bdfd) would be okay and could fold out a lot of random overcards that ha
Ok, but then he didn't fold so....
Pre is raise or fold and mostly fold.