QTcc Royal Draw
1-2 NL, around 200 eff with each villain. Hero probably has a lag image. They’re both loose passive MAWGs.
Hero in co with QTcc
Pre: Hero opens 10, both blinds call
Flop (30) : AcKc5x
2 checks Hero bets 15 both call
Turn (75) : Qx
2 checks
11 Replies
We're behind Ax which likely makes up much of their range, so I probably take the free card and bet ♣, Jack, Queen rivers.
Bet 100, snap call jam.
If 1 of them call, ship river if you hit.
Check the turn. They have so much Ax. You have a free card for draws that could stack them. You don’t have much fold equity against two players.
1-2 NL, around 200 eff with each villain. Hero probably has a lag image. They’re both loose passive MAWGs.
Hero in co with QTcc
Pre: Hero opens 10, both blinds call
Flop (30) : AcKc5x
2 checks Hero bets 15 both call
Turn (75) : Qx
2 checks
Marc Goone from Hungry Horse likes to use an over-bet or check strat on ace-high boards as the PFR. This is a spot where we can be unbalanced, and over-bet as a bluff on the flop, confident our opponents don't have AA/KK and probably not AK or even A5, nor will they have a better draw.
When we turn a pair that brings in JT, and might possibly make someone 2P, I'd either check back or bet small, like 1/3 to 40% pot. The fact that they both called our 1/2 pot c-bet weights them towards having a lot of AX and KX combos that either made 2P or picked up a GSSD.
With the Tc in our hand, we could conceivably rep JTcc, but we're not folding out AxJc, KxJc, or QxJc. A big bet on the turn only gets called by better hands, and mostly just folds out worse.
I prefer to check and hope we hit and they can't fold to a river bet. I don't like a small bet because they are never folding AX, and we are likely behind and just wasting that $25 or whatever. I also don't like a big bet this shallow, but if I do bet, it's to commit them, so go $75 - $100.
You could just shove. It doesn't look so much like a draw on the turn. You are 39% against Ax. 25% against a straight. Otherwise, I would check back.
I would bet larger on the flop. Your range has a big advantage and your actual hand is strong, doesn't fear a x/r. Plus you don't mind taking it down, pressuring Kx or weak Ax.
$15 might fold out some lower pairs so I don't think it's bad, and usually gives you the option to check behind turn, which I think is the play now
I agree with bigger on the flop, which massively favors our range and we have a combo draw.
I would check back the turn for free realization. I don't love our chances of getting Ax to fold here.
Pot the flop
Shove the turn
check back
Grunch: $80-90 about 80% of the time. Check 20% of the time.
