HiJack 99

This is a really good spot to bet big. Villain can have many combos of AJ. AXdd will not fold for any sizing. 44 and A4 that slowplay the flop are possible too. You also have a lot of stack depth behind and should be looking to get it all-in by the river if possible.

Any size that is pot or above will set up a river jam. I would probably go $135 and then shove clean rivers for $400 into $389. That is pretty close to geometric sizing (betting the same percentage of the pot on each street).

Did my math wrong, $135 on turn sets up $360 into $389 on river. Still think that’s a good sizing scheme though.

Would probably still jam diamond rivers too but it’s not as nice of a spot.

Depends on V. I like the over-bet if he's the type to call or if you have an image that will get called. This is 1/3, though, and over-betting the pot gets a lot of folds.

In an "average" game, just value bet as much as he will call w/ worse -- probably around $75.

$100. $150 on river

V called a 70% flop bet, on A94r, so I'm guessing they have to have an Ace. Or are floating to see if H bets big again.

First thought was like Dan, pot it. We want to play for stacks. Please have AJ, please have AJ....

Second thought was, *if* your V is bluffy and aggro, an 80-90 bet might get them to think they've FE with a shove, where if H pots it here, doubt they're folding. Probably FPS.

Pot $119
Ah9d4sJd

Hero bets $85, Villain raises $200

Hero?

Call. He’s shoving every river, let him bluff if he somehow has one.

I would bet smaller on flop to keep in all the hands that fold to a bigger bet.

I bet smaller on this flop, I want him to call even if he doesn't have an Ace. EDIT really this is a range bet, we absolutely print by isolating a weak range and then 1/3 pot our entire range on a dry A-high board like this. Bonus points for having position on them.

AP OTT I make it $100 getting ready to jam river.

AP when he raises I shove.

Shove now. Don't let him off the hook on a blank river.

Preflop, flop standard.

Turn: Prefer a PSB. V can be sticky with Ax.

AP Turn: Well, I wasn't expecting V to raise here. I think his raises are AdXd, AJo, JJ and maybe KdQd. He can also have AA occasionally if he's tricky, slowplaying pre and hoping someone would attack the limp and straddle money.

Pot is ~400, we have ~400 behind and H's Jam would make the pot 800, so V gets 4-1 to call off the 200 remaining. He isn't folding anything he would raise, so we're going to the river one way or the other.

V has 9 AJo and lots of AdXd, versus 3 JJ and 3 AA beating us and one KdQd that has many live draws. A lot of his better combos would have raised preflop I think/hope. I suppose the way to get him to make the most mistakes is to jam and have him call off the AJo and NFD combos getting the wrong price.

Wow, the FPS thingy actually worked. No idea why V made this cutesy raise vs a shove, but w/e, agreeing with Java, rip it in now. 550 effective, and V's already committed almost 1/2 their stack: they shouldn't be folding.

What hands do they have that theyd call on the turn that would actually fold a blank river though? Maaaaybe Ax diamonds?

Not sure you want to fold out any airball bluffs by jamming turn. Of course if it's a snug opponent the odds that he's actually doing this with nothing is so low you might as well get it in now.

Using my Super Nit method, I require two things to consider raising out of the HJ: a Button straddle and effective stacks behind me to be such that I could stack off comfortably with TP postflop in a raised pot. So my personal conditions aren't met at this stack size and so I would just overlimp. But that's just my style. Meanwhile we got this HU in position with a nice playable SPR of 11, so nice result.

With an SPR of 11, we can play for stacks by the river (our goal) with nice solid PSBs on early streets to leave a very reasonable river shove. So I'd do that. If we hadda gone $50 on the flop, that would leave us for $150 into $150 on the turn and a very easy peasy $330 into $450 (just a 60% PSB) on the river. Highly doubtful that there is much difference in flop continuing range to $35 versus $50 into $50 on this board.

As played, I'd at least PSB the turn to make the river shove somewhat reasonable. ETA: Prolly just piling in the rest now facing the raise.

GcluelessNLnoobG

Hero goes All-In
V calls with 44

Subtle differences in play probably don’t matter, this was headed for a good result.