QQÂ’s pre flop.
1/3 8 handed.
UTG..Is a middle aged Asian lady. She seems tight passive pre flop. She has open limped a couple times. I suspect her range is something like AKo+ JJ+ AQs+. It could be slightly wider. She also seems straight forward post flop. I’ve seen her open in a similar situation to 20 then check/call a low board and check/fold a 4 straight turn. We both have around 500. Her open raises seem to be on the large size ranging from 15-28. She has not shown down yet. This is just a couple hours of play.
UTG opens to 28, folded to me on the button. I have QQ’s. The BB is extremely loose and bad post. He does have a mw donking range which has been an over pair once and a draw once. Is this just a call? Post flop could get tricky if the BB calls.
Also, why do apostrophe’s end up as an A sometimes?
4 Replies
Cripes, against this hugernormous sizing for UTG against what is probably just a face up player, I probably just call and evaluate postflop.
GcluelessNLnoobG
You have to raise here and anyone telling you to just "call and evaluate" isn't giving you advice. They're just saying "I'm scared and I don't know what to do"
It's very simple to break down. You identified villain's opening range, it's 37 hands. You are only behind 12 of them.
Aside: 37 hands is a 3% opening range. Is she really that tight?? Really?
Even if so, when we're ahead of 2/3 of our opponent's range, we should bet. Raise to $85
AK doesn't have nearly as much equity as you think it does if it doesn't see all five cards. We can defend our overpair in a 3bet pot just as well as we can in a single raise pot. Only difference is we win more money if the extra bet goes in.
I think I like the call to let the bad player in rather than going hu vs an utg raise with a pretty strong range if I'm interpreting the read correctly.
If bad player is gonna donk sometimes that's worse for UTG than it is for you.
My instinct when someone raises extra big like this into a dry pot is that they have JJ/TT/AK and are afraid of playing post-flop. It's rarely AA/KK. They are screaming "I have a good hand but I'm afraid to play it!"
Given the read on BB, I'd be tempted to let him in. The dream is that you get a safe flop, BB donks, UTG flats and you get to x/r. But it's probably better to just raise right now before an A or K either turns you to a loser or kills your action.
I'd make it $65, fold to a jam and if V calls you can be very confident you are against JJ/TT more often than not and target those hands post flop.
