Sick spot w boat
This hand came up last week, IÂ’m 90% sure this is just a cooler but interested in opinions.
I have $700 in hijack. SB has $300 and plays tight/predictable ABC poker. BB has $200, is on tilt, and in process of spewing multiple buy ins. UTG has $650 and seems like reasonable reg, plays a lot and at higher limits based on his table talk w dealers.
Preflop, UTG raises to $15, I call w 33, SB/BB all call. Flop comes A22 badugi, everyone checks.
Turn is a 3. It checks to me, I bet $30, three calls, $180 in pot.
River is an 8. Now SB leads out for $50. BB raise/shoves for remaining $140. UTG calls. I think for 10 seconds before shoving. SB folds and UTG calls, asking if I have quad 2s, and turns over AA.
Did I make a mistake shoving here?
I asked UTG after the hand why he didnÂ’t raise and he said he thought I or SB may have 45 or a 2. I remain highly skeptical of that strategy as long term optimal even though it was successful.
Oof, prob wouldn't shove river $650 effective but the action from utg up to that point is very passive and works out well for them. Maybe there's a high hand jackpot in the room?
Yes, although he qualified regardless of the outcome.
IÂ’m persuaded this is a bad shove now, guess internet shaming works sometimes. Should be a smooth call.
5BB is a little expensive for 3s preflop but that is just standard raise for 1/3 or 2/5 there. My strategy in calling was ideally to hit a set against 230BB UTG, hoping he had AA or KK, or wheel draw multiway. I was also pretty certain that just calling would induce more calls, as
I was only one 3betting preflop at table.
Whether inviting random hands in is EV+ compared to heads up, I donÂ’t know. I suppose I prefer heads up but that would have made this outcome of stacking off Set over Set all the more certain.
