Spaz or reasonable semi-bleff
1/3 NLHE 9 handed
V - unknown mawg. Have one hour with him. He's been stacked once when he opened JTo from UTG for 15, went 5 ways OOP and a LP called BTN with ATcc. Board came T-9c-4-6c-X and V went bet flop, bet turn, and called LP BTNs jam OTT thus owning himself. Rebought for 300 and is up to 350 now and still seems a little steamed. He's opened 15 a few times but thats the only SD. VPIP 30-40%. 350$ CO.
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Folds to V who opens 15, BTN folds, H goes 50 with K♠ T♦ from SB (Covers), BB folds, V tank calls. HU OOP.
Flop - J♠ T♥ 4♠
H checks, V bets 60, Hero jams for Vs remaining 240...
2 Replies
Did the fire department show up? Or at least someone with a fire extinguisher?
VPIP of 30% for the hour you've observed V. So like 9-10 hands? You don't mention where V falls on the fit or fold - calling station spectrum. But judging from the hand of note you provide; I'm guessing V just needs to be in the same area code as the Community Cards to stick around.
Preflop is really bad spew, which makes the hand spew. This is a bad hand to 3! in this spot in theory and worse against described player.
OTF: If you’re going to have a check range, then it will involve x/shoving some hands like these is good. THE PROBLEM is the range you’re showing up to the flop with makes this strategy problematic. You’re just going to show up with far too many speculative hands that like checking and like shoving. AK is already a very natural selection for this line, so you have to be careful about how many combos you’re range merging with when a full 16 combos of semi-bluffs are very plausible here.
Your 3! range SHOULD be very linear here, in which case flop is really a range bet since almost your entire range likes betting and a lot of his range hates facing a bet. Then if you incorporate a checking range at all, it’s pretty straightforward to construct a shipping range made up of some nutted hands, some hands that benefit from protection, some semi-bluffs, and some range merges, and to construct a narrow x/f range of the few hands that didn’t like this flop and didn’t just bet the flop. The way you’re constructing your range makes it so that too many hands want to check, too many of them want to fold to a bet, and too many of them would love to have FE so they could either semi-bluff or range merge, so you’re losing EV all over the place.
TL;DR: Preflop is rly rly bad. Postflop WOULD be fine if you were playing preflop correclty, but as is it’s bad and likely to get exploited by described villain.
