AK, nasty preflop action
5/5
UTG ($450) – Opens a lot preflop with mixed bet sizes. A $10 open from UTG usually signals a marginal hand.
UTG+1 ($200) – Unknown player. Based on his tendencies, he seems to be a recreational player.
CO Hero ($1200) – I’ve got an active table image and recently won a big pot.
BU ($1200) – Has only been playing for 2-3 orbits. Seems tight and likely a regular.
UTG opens to $10, UTG+1 3bets to $30, Hero(CO) AKo 4bets to $80, BU calls, UTG folds, UTG+1 jams for the rest, Hero - ?
15 Replies
Rejam. BU may fold hands like JJ, AKo, even QQ. You block AA and KK and there is a chance that this player profile is going to 5bet those hands anyways.
Re-jam.
Easy game.
I'm not feeling great about shoving against the "tight reg" on the BTN who just coldcalled a 4-bet. However, shoving has to be better than calling, unless you think he's going to take the dry side pot as a reason to check it down.
UTG+1 just 3bet an UTG raise and he only has $200, so he probably has AA/KK or maybe possibly QQ but hardly even AK or less IMO. He did exactly what I'd expect him to do with only 120 behind so if we're not snapping it off once he raises we shouldn't be raising pre then. I fold pre but that's just me.
That cold call from the button really scared me. How often do people slow play KK and AA in spots like this, and should I be worried about it?
That cold call from the button really scared me. How often do people slow play KK and AA in spots like this, and should I be worried about it?
You're starting $1200 deep. You 4B to $80. Can't be worried yet.
If you're worried BTN is sand-bagging, just min-click it to $320. He's not going to let you see a flop for that price if he's got AA.
Well, it's his read and his player pool, and it sounds like the OP views him as a competent reg who likely is not set-mining here, suggesting some type of premium hand.
OTOH, If he's not actually a competent TAG or better, then obviously the range expands.
That cold call from the button really scared me. How often do people slow play KK and AA in spots like this, and should I be worried about it?
Cold calling a 4bet seems quite awful, whatever he has, even taking into account the specific stack sizes.
Anyway, to me, this looks much more like JJ-QQ or AK, than KK+.
I am definitely in the re-shove camp.
I rip it.
That cold call from the button really scared me. How often do people slow play KK and AA in spots like this, and should I be worried about it?
Sometimes. But again, you block AA and KK. So there are 3 combos of each, and sometimes those hands will cold 5 bet. So we're looking at something closer to 3 combos total if we probability weight those hands. Meanwhile he has 9 combos of AK and 12 combos of QQ, JJ, and maybe some hands like AQs. There is a good case that this player profile has KK+ ~1/8 of the time here.
I'm also more afraid of the button than +1; if +1 is competent he may well feel the same and if he's not then he's probably not 3betting/jamming all that light. But I can't see button with less than QQ/AK here. On the other hand, he's much more likely to have QQ or AK than he is to have KK+ purely on combos, and QQ/AK are likely to fold. Interesting spot. My instinct was fold but if you jam then the button does become dead money a fair amount... I would have folded myself but the arguments above are quite compelling
I click it back intending to fold to a btn jam. We can do this with aces too.
I’m definitely raising but I don’t know if 5b/f to BTN shove makes more sense or 5b shove. Hard to believe BTN flats w/ AA/KK but obviously possible.
