A Simple Hand With Two Decision Points

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Thanks, edited.

I check back flop here 3 ways, with the idea of calling small bet on turn, or if checked again, a delayed c-bet

On river, I'm making the crying call given the odds, but only expecting to be good about 20-25% of the time.

At low stakes, bad players love ace anything. I'd check the flop to see if you improve and typically at low stakes like this I'd fold to a bet. Nitty? Sure. It's just based on the player.

I removed the results. As said above, anyone who called with an ace isn't folding to flop and turn bet. Anyone who can't isn't going to call very often. I'd check the flop. Getting 4:1 on the river as played, I'd call because there is enough of a chance that the villain is stabbing at the pot to make it break even. I'd expect to lose a lot of the time.

Thanks for the comments. Villain had A6o.

Check back flop. Make a delayed c-bet on the turn if action checks to us again. A lot of opponents are going to have AX here when they check flop, but they won't check to us twice.

Think we have to call the $15 river bet, getting 4:1 on a call, but I'm not expecting to be good more than 20% of the time.

it's a clear call on the river. You are good more than 30% here for sure.

V has tons of Ax and Kx. His missed draws and broadways may bet river small also.

I don't mind the small bet on the flop, but checking is probably better.

i dont see any good reason to bet the flop 3 way.

Did we not open? Why can't we triple-barrel AK2r? Big, too. (Edit, in light of that, open for bigger than 12 at 1/3 w a limper. I wouldn't mind 20.)

We're supposed to have AK here, in the minds of your usual 1/3 "passive" player pool.

Bet big enough on the turn that they can congratulate themselves mentally on a good fold, having only top pair. Ofc, this works a lot better if we first know they have a fold button.

I think that this is a flop that benefits from a "big bet or check" strategy, where your best value hands and best bluffs (hands like JTss or QJdd) want to bet really big and your middle-strength hands, like KQs and a lot of low Ax, can just check back.

That being said, I don't think you played the hand badly and I would also call the river. It's a really good spot to bluff catch and I think you see a lot of non-sensical stuff here like 77 and 88 that floated the flop and should never really be leading the river.

Next time post stack sizes as they are fairly critical with most decisions. I'll assume effective stacks of 100bb = $300.

I limp in.

Think I mostly check back the flop. Ax is never folding to one bet and meanwhile I'm not sure too many worse hands are calling a bet (perhaps a weaker Kx or gutshot?). Although we may be able to set our own price to get to the river, so I guess I don't hate it.

I'm fine with the turn check back.

Next time post pot sizes so we know what is going on. Looks like it is a bet of $15 into $66. We don't have to be right all that often and this could be a blocky value bet from a worse Kx / pocket pear, so I sigh call.

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