KQs
The UTG+1 has been at the table for about 30 minutes. She is 30 ish and has been open limping quite a bit. This is her first open raise. I 3 bet KdQd from the CO and it's folded back to her and she calls. I have been a bit card dead so I have a tight image.
7c3s3c....She checks, I bet. She calls.
7c3s3c8h...She checks. I don't know how stubborn she may get with Ace high. I also don't know if she might go into call down mode with an over pair. If I choose to bet the turn and she calls should there be rivers that I barrel on UIP to try to get her to fold A high?
7 Replies
The "put in one more bet UI" lines are reasonably comparable. Check back now and get perfect info with one bet on the river seems a little better with KQ and bet turn checking back UI seems a little better with AK.
But both of those seem worse than "no more bets." Do you really think a limps a lot player will exploit you for it?
Also, not interested in thinly bluffing an EP range that's probably tighter than it should be for the limping.
If you bet and if she Hero calls then you can safely value bet her next time.
I think it’s close. Weak players who suddenly raise usually have biggish hands, pocket pairs or big aces. I would probably check the turn and give up on the river UI. If you bet the turn check the river UI. If she calls the river I doubt she’ll fold AK on the river.
Fold pf
is it too nitty to fold pre?
i dont think anyone folds Ax here. in fact i did an experiment where i didnt 2 barrel for 3-4 hours and then 2 barreled, i got called on the turn by Ax anyway. nobody is paying attention.
No way I fold pre. I'd fold KQo pre maybe, but 30 minutes is not the kind of sample that would give me sufficient confidence to fold KQs to one raise.
I typically check the turn and fold the river UI for the reasons Munga stated. (I might call an 8.) If the river is a king or a queen, I'd call a bet or bet/call if checked to.
