Bike 20 - I Peel My Way Into Two Pair
Unknown older white woman who I have stereotyped as tighter and more passive than average opens UTG+1 and three people call. I call KJo in the BB.
Flop Q89r. I check, she bets, 2 people call, I call.
Turn Kr. I check, she bets, only I call.
River Jr. I donk because I suspect she will check back everything I beat (including AK and AA) and never raise a hand without a ten in it.
9 Replies
Standard 😀
Is she betting flop with AK as you described her? I realize this is 20-40 and not 4/8 or 8/16 so tighter and more passive might mean different things.
Likely hands that raise pre, bet flop and turn as described? -AA, KK, QQ, AQ, 88-99. maybe TT-JJ, KQ? Not alot of combos I would expect to beat.
Is she betting flop with AK as you described her I realize this is 20-40 and not 4/8 or 8/16 so tighter and more passive might mean different things.
Likely hands that raise pre, bet flop and turn as described -AA, KK, QQ, AQ, 88-99. maybe TT-JJ, KQ Not alot of combos I would expect to beat.
I agree I am not in great shape on the river given her range. That said, I don't think I can fold kings up in a pot of this size and I think my money goes in way better if I donk than if I check/call.
Yes bf beats kc but I think kf beats them both vs the described opponent. If she can bluff you even a little then sure but on that river I think it falls to zero.
Is she betting flop with AK as you described her I realize this is 20-40 and not 4/8 or 8/16 so tighter and more passive might mean different things. Likely hands that raise pre, bet flop and turn as described -AA, KK, QQ, AQ, 88-99. maybe TT-JJ, KQ Not alot of combos I would expect to beat.
I agree I am not in great shape on the river given her range. That said, I don't think
I understand now. Razor thin value targeting AA. I assume you are folding if she raises?
Donk/fold turn is probably corrected if you believe she never have any bluff. Your gutter probably dont have overall equality against her turn raise.
seems fine
donking turn maybe ok too depends if she checks back AQ. i dont think most aggressive TAGs would check back AQ on this turn though and it sucks to get raised by a set.
Exactly what hands are you targeting with the river bet? I don't see her having AK here very often, and I don't know that she's going to call with AA.
I guess I'm with Munga here and think folding is best, even though it would be very tough to do.
It’s not so much a bluff but there are opponents who think AA is the nuts regardless of the run out. AA AK AQ all call here
