2024 World Series of Poker May 28th to July 17th ***No Spoilers***
The 2024 WSOP will take place at Horseshoe Las Vegas and Paris Las Vegas from May 28 to July 17, 2024, with the Main Event running from July 3 to July 17. The Main Event – poker’s undisputed freezeout world championship – will have four starting days, beginning on Wednesday, July 3. Players may also register directly on Day 2.
Okay, I only went so far back because I have to relocate right now, plus the formatting of the WSOP reports got sort of unwieldy.
Here's what I have from 2015 to 2022 of "comeback kids." No one who was short at three tables made it to the final nine last year, but it has happened before:
2022 (35 left)
Matthew Su 25th to 9th
Aaron Duczak 23rd to 7th
2021 (36 left)
Jack Oliver 27th to 3rd
2019 (35 left)
Alex Livingston 34th to 3rd
2018 (36 left)
John Cynn 35th to 1st
2017 (35 left)
Damian Salas 27th to 7th
Wow. Did Cynn and Nguyen get super lucky?
Seems like Nguyen was the worst player to win the Main Event since Yang 2007. He hasn't done much before or since.
They should stop it right now and play down to 9 tomorrow like we discussed a couple days ago. Rather than playing down to like 18 or whatever tonight which makes tomorrow kinda anti-climactic.
Also agree, but having just pored through past Main Events for the four- and three-table chip counts, I can see why they don't. It's tough to predict exactly when the field will reach 27, then when 27 will go to 18, and 18 to nine, and nine to six, etc., etc. Some of the recent years have ended up with some awkward situations because they seemed to hold steady to some specified cutoff points. They had inordinately short days followed by insanely long ones.
After all, consider an extreme scenario in which the officials announce early on they're stopping at 27. But as it happens, the tourney hits that number at, say, 3 p.m. on Day 7. Obviously, anyone would agree to keep playing.
What we got this year is not nearly as extreme as that, but it's the same idea. In this case, they got to 9 p.m. (when Xiao actually busted, not when we saw it on stream) and must have figured they might as well put these next 3-4 hours to good use. I also wouldn't be surprised if the staffing matters – not just the dealers and tourney personnel, but the TV crew running the stream. Going from a six-hour Day 7 to a 17-hour Day 8 can create logistical problems.
I hate folding 99/TT/JJ in this spot but bro just fold your 99 pre, your hand is face up when you cold call a 3bet there.
Also agree, but having just pored through past Main Events for the four- and three-table chip counts, I can see why they don't. It's tough to predict exactly when the field will reach 27, then when 27 will go to 18, and 18 to nine, and nine to six, etc., etc. Some of the recent years have ended up with some awkward situations because they seemed to hold steady to some specified cutoff points. They had inordinately short days followed by insanely long ones.
After all, consider an extreme scenario
Exactly this, they're not going to make the final table tonight despite some players trying and it can be way way too long going from 27 to 9. It's only somewhat predictable how long things take.
What part would be trolling wtf?
I just stated the fact. She wont make it to the next day thats just the most probable thing mathematically. Of course some lucky spin up is possible, but most likely not.
I can't know for sure what persian is thinking, but my guess is he's referring to the "need to study more for that final table spot" part of your post. The rest of it is perfectly reasonable, as you noted.
Tom Brady threw 212 interceptions in his career. If you saw only those, or only his worst ones, you might respond with a "wow, he needs to practice more" conclusion. Never mind that those 212 picks were less than two percent of his more than 12,000 career attempts.
EDIT: okay, as I finish typing that, I see her limp fold with 75o. Now I'm confuzzled.
This Moronz guy is going deep. Annoying rail and hitting 2 outers, its obvious final table kind of guy.
Savage beat
Exactly this, they're not going to make the final table tonight despite some players trying and it can be way way too long going from 27 to 9. It's only somewhat predictable how long things take.
They used to always go 27 to 9 on Day 7 and there were some late finishes but largely thanks to the crazy big November Nine 10-9 bubble.
she had just enough to minraise, also looks very strong (ie aces and it's nice to have something else to bluff with that line) and didn't expect to get bluff 3b'd.
she did fold 66 I would've jammed but that could go either way with how you think the table range is going to call or fold vs it.
They used to always go 27 to 9 on Day 7 and there were some late finishes but largely thanks to the crazy big November Nine 10-9 bubble.
I think these days that would average to be a really long day. I don't think they want a short day then a too long one. Just awkward how it unfalls now it seems.
she had just enough to minraise, also looks very strong (ie aces and it's nice to have something else to bluff with that line) and didn't expect to get bluff 3b'd.
she did fold 66 I would've jammed but that could go either way with how you think the table range is going to call or fold vs it.
Yeah, 66 is the bare minimum 10bb AI IMO. A big stack could call with KT in the BB and not think twice.
Tomorrow is going to be a complete anti climax when it used to be the best poker viewing of the entire year. Just like last year.
last year had jacks crack kings and queens with two tables left, wasn't exactly anti climatic
I'm about an hour behind but the Krissy fold on the button with Q2hh and 7bb when folded to her seems extremely nitty
I'm about an hour behind but the Krissy fold on the button with Q2hh and 7bb when folded to her seems extremely nitty
Yeah she's never studied ICM pushbot SNG strategies. 75o in the SB was a shove too. He would have called with QTo, but it's still a shove if he's folding bottom half of hands.
Yeah she's never studied ICM pushbot SNG strategies. 75o in the SB was a shove too. He would have called with QTo, but it's still a shove if he's folding bottom half of hands.
Q2s definitely a shove with 7BB. I got 76o+ as minimum, ignoring ICM.
22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J3s+, T6s+, T4s, 95s+, 85s+, 75s+, 54s, A2+, K2+, Q3+, J6+, T7+, 97+, 87, 76
With ICM, maybe.
Yeah she's never studied ICM pushbot SNG strategies. 75o in the SB was a shove too. He would have called with QTo, but it's still a shove if he's folding bottom half of hands.
Q2s definitely a shove with 7BB. I got 76o+ as minimum, ignoring ICM. With ICM you need better.
Sounds like you guys have... how much does the BBA impact your shoving range on a SB-on-BB situation?
Anyway, that limp/fold is baffling to me. Seems like the worst of the three decisions between push vs. fold vs. that.
Surprised to see Kim fold 99 to a sub 3x 3-bet
Really surprised Rast called it off there