$7 regular mtt tight fold with KK?
No info on villain. Looks like i fudged up here right?
No Limit Hold'em Tournament T500/T1 000
Buy-in: $6.69+$0.81 USD Hold'em No Limit
PokerStars
7 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com: Poker HUD...
Stacks:
UTG - UTG (T39 135)
UTG+1 - Hero (T88 183)
MP - MP (T64 747)
CO - CO (T10 847)
BTN - BTN (T25 767)
SB - SB (T95 081)
BB - BB (T55 317)
Preflop: (T2 375, 7 players) Hero is UTG+1 with K♥ K♣
1 fold, Hero raises to T2 000, 4 folds, BB calls T1 000
Flop: 2♣ 6♦ T♣ (T5 375, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets T2 000, BB raises to T8 000, Hero calls T6 000
Turn: 6♥ (T21 375, 2 players)
BB bets T13 000, Hero calls T13 000
River: 3♥ (T47 375, 2 players)
BB bets T32 192 (all-in), 1 fold, Uncalled bet of T32 192 returned to BB
Total Pot: T47 375
BB wins T47 375
3 Replies
This kind of hands are very useful for me in my attempts to re-starting my poker career (as a rec player that is).
If you are a bit of a weaktight player (which defininately is true for me) your gut always starts telling you this story: "OMG what can he have? It must be a set. Surely it's a set!" Or at least "OMG he tried to make me fold OTF with 76 and now he turned trips!"
There's also some stupid form of shame from previous hands when you bet/called down to the river, only to find that your overpair was up against a set. It always felt embarassing to me.
Somehow this sort of feelings are there even though we know there were times when we called (or they called our bet) OTR and we actually had the best hand.
That's the emotional aspect of it. Feelings those of us who struggle with 'em has to practise to overcome when in play.
If we do that we will realise that a random player - even at this low stake - likely has at least a somewhat wider range. And then we look at the pot odds: They're almost 2,50:1 for calling villain OTR. Even if oldsilvers hand range should be a bit to optimistic that means that a call will be clearly profitable even if villain has a set or trips 2 times out of 3: About 5,5 bb on average.
Also, since this is tournament play: I would factor in the fact that we cover villain. If beaten, we still have +30bb left. Whereas even if we're only good here 1 time out of 3 that third time this call really will chip us up, giving us what likely is a very good stack at this moment.
I'm with Nath, I think we really only lose to 222 here. I would seldom expect villain to have TTT (a low stakes player may 3b sometimes pre but usually will call, and also don't expect them to x raise right away on flop with nuts and instead to just call to slowplay (same could be said for a lot of low stakes players with any set here)) I could see villain even value shoving AT against us here. I wish we didn't have the Kc (would make this call even better since he could have some more missed club draws like KQcc KJcc etc) but still think I'm calling here and expecting 222 sometimes, AT and some missed club draws. If the six didn't pair the turn, I think we have more to worry bout but that basically rules 666 out as well.
66 much less likely, but definitely would be concerned that he has 76s, 86s, etc., some portion of the time, especially something like 6x of clubs. Agree with the analysis that it is still a shrug call due to all the Tx, the missed clubs, the "he put you on AK" factore, etc.