$1100 Wynn Prime shove spot
Yes, I can put this into HRC, but I’m curious what you guys think. Villain is a younger kid. It’s the 2nd orbit.
Day 2 ITM. We have 15bb villain has 12bb
Folds to LJ who opens to 2bb. Folds to us in the SB.
What does your shoving range look like? Is it tighter than if they had 15bb? In this specific hand I had QJs
4 Replies
Tricky to make good assumptions here because this is where the OpenNAI frequency really drop off precipitously and there's probably no good answer about who's still retaining a lot in their range. You could ask 10 different people and get 10 different equally justifiable answers.
IMO--
Do think you'll see substantial 9xs and 8xs here. IP probably supposed to snap it off with like any pair, A7s+, A9o+, suited bwy, KQo--and won't achieve that. Might be close but probably not quite.
Think the polarization of his range is obvious and not a particularly strong way to differentiate yourself unless you're connecting it with him having to snap it off with stuff most would fold. This means pounding him with ships.
QJs a clear ship for me.
Put a number on his assumed fold-to-3b frequency.
People find folds here quite often, probably 45% +/- 10% relative error.
They may not find the OpenNAI too often on average but when they do they have plenty of indefensible combos vs ships.
How about flatting? I think Call > Fold > Shove is best
Solver likes flatting here (ChipEV)
Something like all suited broadways, 22-QQ, AJo+, A9s+, A5s.
Playing call with KK+, some of the mid suited connectors, and like KQo, ATo, suited Ax
