More Aggresive on Flop?

More Aggresive on Flop?

ITM Villan is 16/8/10
My table image is TAG 10/9/7
C/R Flop anyone ?

GG Poker - 1,750/3,500 Ante 500 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 18.51 BB
SB: 12.43 BB
Hero (BB): 13.62 BB
UTG: 20.19 BB
UTG+1: 10.15 BB
MP: 30.6 BB
MP+1: 11.25 BB
CO: 60.2 BB

8 players post ante of 0.14 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.64 BB) Hero has K J

UTG raises to 2 BB, UTG+1 calls 2 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (9.64 BB, 4 players) Q K 4
Hero checks, UTG bets 3.18 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 3.18 BB

Turn: (16.01 BB, 2 players) A
Hero checks, UTG bets 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB

River: (21.01 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, UTG bets 6.93 BB, Hero calls 5.79 BB and is all-in

Spoiler
Show

UTG shows Q A (Two Pair, Aces and Queens)
(Pre 63%, Flop 20%, Turn 86%)
Hero shows K J (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 37%, Flop 80%, Turn 14%)
UTG wins 32.6 BB

23 February 2024 at 03:56 AM
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2 Replies



Oy. I'm a nit, so grain of salt, but I would just flat the flop. He raised UTG and is now betting into 3 people. He should never have worse than KTs here, and often quite a bit better. In fact, he bet for...value?...with middle pair, which is atrocious. Unfortunately he then sucked out, as atrocious players often do.

I do think we have an opportunity to get away on the turn or at least river given all of his bluffs have come in (Ax, JT). Even if calling is +chip EV, which it is probably not, your tournament life has value and you're better off preserving it.


Top pair strong kicker and you started the hand with under 15BB and you have an SPR of not even 1.3 going to the flop... yeah I think you just get it in on the flop here.

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