Mystery Bounty Calculation
How do you calculate this when considering to call an all in or not? There was an article that said something like you average the remaining bounties available. However, how do you even do that? Can't imagine you check the online tournament lobby and check because sites like 888 only shows the amount someone has collected so you don't know which or how many bounties they collected unless it is obvious like one of the amounts shown or a big one. You have to go through all the players to check if one of the bigger bounties were collected. Also I recall 888 does it where after a player busts, the mystery bounty is revealed to everyone at the table. On stars, it doesn't? What about gg?
On other sites, do they show how many bounties are remaining and how many are collected for each amount though? Do other players at the table know? I know stars does have some mystery bounty now and I believe gg has had for a while. I don't believe stars show how much a player gets for a mystery bounty even if you are at the table?
Does it make sense playing for mystery bounties as aggressive as possible especially if there are big bounties? Do you play it even more aggressive than progressive bounties? Well you obviously play the progressive bounties more aggressively if the amount shown on those are higher etc but what about the mystery bounty? It seems lot of people are not a fan of these?
2 Replies
One thing I do, which is really just an intuitive approximation, is check to see how many giant bounties are left, and to see what percent of the total number of bounties those represent. By giant bounties, I mean bounties that represent a 3rd place finish or better in the tournament. When those bounties are out there, and especially if they represent more than 5% of the total bounties to be won -- I call VERY wide when I cover V and close the action (assuming it's a situation where I know I have some equity). I figure this crapshoot is prbably better odds than actually finishing 1-3.
Has it worked? No -- but I did get a $5k bounty in an event where the top bounties were over $50k. That $5k bounty was way more than my eventual cash.
So I guess I'm trying to say that in those mystery bounties with giant bounties there is a lotto element that can't be ignored if your goal is to make $.
Well what is the correct way to calculate it assuming you know how many bounties are left for each vs not knowing?
