Bubble Spot Seniors 5K
4 off the bubble in the Seniors High Roller (~92 paid).
Villain 1 is clearly looking to get to the $. He has been stalling and is showing signs of being tortured about this spot. He had called off hero's EP 12BB jam with AJs very reluctantly in the second orbit of day 2
Villain 2 is splashy guy who has been talking about how he used to play super high stakes golf with the top poker pros. 40K/hole, so clearly the bubble doesn't mean much to him. He has been impulsive/erratic with his betting and bet sizes.
Villain one open limps the Hijack off 5.7BBs. Hero goes to 2.5x BB from the button off 19BBs holding AQo. Villain 2 in the BB quickly makes it 7.5x off a 50BB stack...
Hero?
9 Replies
Probably just shove initially. When you raise small, you sort of invite this from the big stack. What is the average stack? Probably the value of the mincash is such that you have to fold.
Actually it was 102 paid, not 92 out of 680 starting field but not relevant to this hand.
I would consider an over-limp here with the intention of re-raising a blind raise of 3-4 BBs. Otherwise I would have gone 3.5x raise over a limper. As played, I'm likely jamming this close to the bubble. FWIW, solver jams AQo here 100% of the time on the bubble.
However, folding to lock up a $10K cash is also a strong consideration if it matters.
How did you finish?
Actually it was 102 paid, not 92 out of 680 starting field but not relevant to this hand.
I would consider an over-limp here with the intention of re-raising a blind raise of 3-4 BBs. Otherwise I would have gone 3.5x raise over a limper. As played, I'm likely jamming this close to the bubble. FWIW, solver jams AQo here 100% of the time on the bubble.
However, folding to lock up a $10K cash is also a strong consideration if it matters.
How did you finish?
You are right, this was 102 paid (92 was the number for the stud 8 where I was also in contention on the bubble).
I didn't like the limp/back raise, though it might have gotten a different response, ie both blinds come along, and the hand plays much more honestly.
I agree in retrospect, my sizing was too small. I think I like 3x; 2.5x looks like I am not committed to the hand.
Thanks for the info re solver. It felt close in game; I was never calling, only jam or fold. With the new payouts in WSOP events where min cash is 2x instead of ~1.5, and super flat after that, I thought this was just not enough hand to risk a sure cash to try to build a bigger stack. I folded, then got the expected min cash (85th) when I lost a flip shortly after the bubble burst.
You give everything in BBs. With chips, I could tell how many buyins your stack is. 2 buyins for the bubble seems significant, as you are probably shortish. So unfortunately I play tight at this point.
Limping behind is interesting. The probably with the raise is it invites mischief from big stacks as occurred. I would just shove as mentioned. The chance the blinds have you dominated is not that great.
Short stack should shove or fold, not limp. He probably needs to steal the blinds some time to cash anyway.
Started the hand with 195,000. 50k starting. Average around 300.
So your stack is about 4 buyin, probably worth about 5 buyins including the mincash. So the mincash was significant.
As I indicated, I would shove and not let the blinds pull anything. Would raise AA/KK to induce, even if it might be unbalanced.
Agree with the consensus about shoving. As another poster said it is solver approved and given the situation you described, the reward of BB calling with a hand you dominate outweighs the risk of being eliminated.
With the new payouts in WSOP events where min cash is 2x instead of ~1.5, and super flat after that, I thought this was just not enough hand to risk a sure cash to try to build a bigger stack. I folded, then got the expected min cash (85th) when I lost a flip shortly after the bubble burst.
Congrats on the score! Maybe we played together at some point?
(BBV hi-jack - I lost a super standard flip 10-10 < AQo for 30 BBs @ 40,000/40,000/20,000 to finish 19th. If only, if only. However, won way more than my fair share of races to get that deep. Mitch said the event exceeded WSOP expectations so it will likely run again next year.)
Congrats on the score! Maybe we played together at some point?
(BBV hi-jack - I lost a super standard flip 10-10 < AQo for 30 BBs @ 40,000/40,000/20,000 to finish 19th. If only, if only. However, won way more than my fair share of races to get that deep. Mitch said the event exceeded WSOP expectations so it will likely run again next year.)
Better GG 😀
I saw your picture here and pretty sure we never played. Maybe next year...