Biggest hero call of my life
https://pokeit.co/public/925p8paMt/r
Since it was a limped pot it could be a couple of Tdxd cards but this ¾ size is rather a bluff to me. To be a profitable value bet he has to beat at least 50% of my calling range. So with cards like 3x, 2x he should check behind me.
The question is, how often do showdown capable hands like A5, A4 that beat flush draws bet on the river?
I have determined the following ranges for him
64s,54s,Td9d,Td8d,9d8d,Td7d,Td6d,Td5d,Td4d,Td3d,64o+,54o
I have 84% equity so the call is clear.
If he turns bluff with A4, A5 I still have almost 50%.
6 Replies
Glad that it worked out this time, but you need to bluff lead this river. As played you need to ship it after his 312 river bet.
That range is ridiculously optimistic. Worked out for you this time. Lighting money on fire in the long run.
What about all the random 8 high and better diamond draws that beat you? He checked the BB so he should have lots.
Yes this is bad. You should have almost no SDV here. Fold or raise when villain bets. Calling is the worst possible option.
Why bet flop? You have nothing to rep here after the limp.