WSOP Main, early final table hand question.
Early in on final table, 9 handed, blinds 800k,1.6M. Folds around to chipleader Griff with 139M in cutoff. He min-raises to 3.2 with 33. Shortest stack Gonzalez shoves for 14.3M with 88 on the button. SB and BB fold back to Griff. He called for the extra 11.1M.
I'm not a huge tourney player so I'm wondering if this was correct. Also, is there any merit to maybe not calling with only pocket threes because you're a coin-flip at best, AND maybe having the shortest stack still breathing so you can continue to try to punish short stacks?
2 Replies
I think for less than 10% of your stack and the ICM implications of a knockout, you go for it in that position. Short stack doesn't have to have a pair for him to shove in this spot.
IIRC Griff was getting better than 2:1 to call the shove, and so he's flipping enough that it's probably a fine call.
Even if the shoving range is as tight as 77+ AJ+, you're flipping half the time and dominated half the time-- which puts you around 35-36% vs. his range and only needing 31% or so to break even on a call.
Griff is deep enough that losing the chips doesn't meaningfully affect his position, and of course if he wins another $250k is locked up.
I didn't do the exact ICM on what he needs to be profitable here, but it's pretty easy to do with any ICM calculator. It's probably a fine call.
