$60 Live Donkament: TT vs a nit
TT Soft bubble stage in a week day donkament in the middle of nowhere; It's a $60 dollar reentry buy in and everyone has a $10 bounty:
I am sitting on 43bb and have a "splashy" image because I have been methodically isoing in LP and shoving my bb when itd been limped to me - but haven't shown down a hand. The tournament is shallow and we have maybe five or six before the bust. Top pays $845. I think I am in the top couple of "big" stacks. I think there were two guys ahead of me with 59bb and 46bb respectively. Everyone else has <25bb. We are 15 or 14 out of 7 getting paid.
I open utg w TT at a nine handed table. The (older than me) fellow immediately to my left shoves for 24bb. I literally haven't seen him play a hand in the 20 minutes I have been sitting there except when he led out in the bb in a multiway limped pot and shoved on a dry flop.
It folds back to me. Are we going with it? FWIW I'd be happy to open shove but there was another big stack at my table. Edit: there were a couple of micro stacks as well if that meant anything.
4 Replies
Hard to range this but it seems unlikely a nit would shove 99 or worse. I'd expect to see TT-QQ and AK mostly, could even be shoving KK & AA. Think this is a pretty easy fold.
Easy fold against a nit.
I think because you are open raising from the UTG it is a fold for me. Your image seems to be that you have a wide opening range so I would be tempted to call if this was a MP or LP open. But if a seemingly tight player immediately shoves then he likely has QQ+/AK with maybe some JJ. And it isn't worth it to be flipping less than half the time. The tight old Villain here might sometimes just call with AK as well.
Also this is a low stakes game where I don't think players will be 3-bet shoving with 22-99 whereas they might call shoves with those hands...
Not sure him folding for 20 mins is enough of a sample to fold here personally