KQo while still alive (kinda)
20 left, I’m 18/20 stackwise, guy mini-opens from CO with 13bb, I’m on SB with KQo and 5.5bb, he’ll never fold so it’s basically like calling. I wouldn’t ask if I was like 3bb, but I still had some marginal folding equity to pass on this spot and open-jam later. I assumed it was just semi-stealing the blinds with some mid/good hand like JT/A6 that he’ll possibly fold to a shove from a stack covering him. Was it a good jam/call or should I wait for a better spot?

5 Replies
The math borderline adds up here (assuming the range I assigned him, regardless of me being wrong about it), but was this ICM justified knowingly that he’s not folding here?
You had two full orbits left and the button next hand. Snapfold that piece of cheese.
Yeah, ICM matters, and knowing he’s unlikely to fold gives you the option to wait but with 5.5bb, jamming KQo isn’t a mistake either.
I feel like it can't be that big a mistake as short as you are, but in part I think the correct answer depends on the villain here. Is he minraising his entire range, or does he have a GTO-type strategy of shoving good-equity hands that don't want to get it in, and raising a polar range of best hands and some bluffs?
If he's minraising his entire range, I feel better about getting it in, because you're going to see more hands you dominate. But if it's a polar range, then it's probably not a great spot, because he should be jamming the KJs-K9s / QJs-QTs type hands you dominate, and his minraises will be big pairs and maybe AKs, plus some bluffs which are likely to be mediocre offsuit Ax (which are still ahead of you).
I dunno, in a $1, I think this kind of observational detail on your opponent is more important than a GTO range. But like I said, getting it in can't be too much of a mistake unless villain is only minraising like JJ+/AKs here.
Yep I bumped into KK, my monster sensor failed. BUT… in most cases when I jam KQ like that, I’m ahead, because of the raiser being on CO. I’d fold if earlier. I haven’t seen him play yet, we were just rearranged. Cooler I guess, ICM bad tho, maybe earlier in the tournament, not here