Key Hand $3,500 buy in WPT Main
Playing level 2 of WPT main. Early going has been a little rough even though table is soft... run into some big hands, but managed to contain losses. I have about 100 bbs. The table is very soft for a WPT main with a lot of limped pots and very little pf 3-bets.
V (BU in this hand) here has presented thus far as OMC-type.
OTTH
UTG (loose passive) limps. I look down at Ah8h and over limp. (Should I raise?) Two callers behind also over limp, including SB. BB checks his option.
Flop (6 bbs): Kh9h8d. UTG leads really big 10 bbs. I tank and call. Folds to BB who x/r to about 33 BBs. UTG tank folds. I tank a long time and just call. I think V has two pair K9 or 89. There is only one combo of 88 left. 99 is possible. But don't think it can be AA or KK. Maybe something like JThh, but don't think OMC makes that move. Should I just jam here with likely around 50% equity?
Turn (82 bbs): blank low off suit card. V jams and I muck, having invested 1/3 of my stack.
All comments and thoughts are welcome.
2 Replies
Preflop: If you can isolate the limper and get heads up by making a big raise, I would consider doing that. If you're at the type of table where it's always going 4 or 5 ways to the flop, even if you make it 5x, then limping behind seems fine.
That's assuming they'll be making lots of postflop mistakes. It's not bad to see a cheap flop with an implied odds hand when you're deep and the table is soft, so the limp behind seems fine.
Flop: Facing the initial overbet I like the flat.
Now here's where I'm having a little trouble reading the action. Was it the button or the BB who raised? The description of V says V was BU in the hand, but I'm assuming that's a typo and it was the BB.
Anyway this is one of those live spots where live reads mean a lot. The initial lead for 10 bb looks strong to me, but is there a chance the check raiser is reading it as weak? You said UTG is loose passive, and when a LP leads for more than pot and a half that seems strong, but BB could just see him as a fish that would bet big with any weak Kx or whatever. I think you've also got to consider whether your tank may have induced a light raise from the big blind. Your tank likely makes your hand look weak.
All that being said, I like your call facing the flop raise. Your opponent's made hands likely aren't folding to a jam, and you want to keep in the dominated draws (that you have crushed). Give him a chance to semibluff all in on the turn.
Turn: I think you've got too much equity to fold facing the turn jam. It looks like the jam is slightly less than a PSB. Even against K9 you have 32%, but he's at least occasionally going to show up with a dominated draw that you have crushed. You factor in the times you occasionally have 80+% equity, and it's going to be a call against his entire range. He could have JTh, QJh, 76h, 65h plus many more potential draws you have crushed considering he's in the bb, and he doesn't have to be jamming with many of them to give you enough equity to call. The main reason to just call on the flop is to keep all the dominated draws in, but you've got to call off the jam to benefit from that.
Also I'm majorly discounting sets since the BB didn't raise preflop over all the limps.
It's kind of a sick spot to be facing a jam in a main event, but I think you've got to call.
Sorry, on the description. The OMC V was the BB. I was confusing this hand with another against the same V, where he was the BU.
This early in a ME you can fold ace rag sooted pf esp from +1 but if you’re going to play definitely raise the limper.
AP yeah just jam on the flop right away. You are where you are. Pretty close to what you were hoping for, right?
