Big decision on turn. Am I getting correct odds?
Hi All - I play a ton of Omaha and Big O in my home game and these situations come up often but I'm not sure if I'm making the correct calls/folds. I feel like I'm not calculating odds correctly. On to the hand. It's a $10 bomb pot so there's $90 in preflop. Everyone has about $300-$600. I have about $450.
My hand is A/J/9X with three hearts. Flop is 10/8/2 with 2 hearts. Small blind bets out $40 I call and 1 other person calls. Pot is now $210.
Turn is an offsuit 6. Small blind bets $200, as I'm thinking I see the other playing getting ready to go all in for about $320 or so. Does this make our decision easier or harder. In my mind I know they both have 9/7. I guess I can hit 8 hearts, 2 of the remaining 7s and 4 Queens. So I have 14 outs so I guess about 25% or so?
So I have to call 320 to win $850 ($210 in the pot and both players $320s) ? Is that correct. How do I calculate pot odds? That's always evaded me. Is this a call or a fold. Will reveal shortly
6 Replies
You probably have a bit less than 25%, since you are double counting the Qh, the other Queens and 7 might be a chop (especially the 7) and a board pairing heart could also mean you lose to a boat.
So it is a bit -EV, assuming you are up against two people that are half decent. However it is not completely horrible to call.
So I have to call 320 to win $850 ($210 in the pot and both players $320s) ? Is that correct. How do I calculate pot odds? That's always evaded me. Is this a call or a fold. Will reveal shortly
This is a very concerning thing to hear from someone with a join date of 2010. This is the sort of question one expects from someone that just played their first ever sng. That is indeed the correct way to calculate the odds.
Count your own bet too:
320 / (320*3 +210) = 320 / 1170 is 27.35%.
