3 bet pot vs aggro player, OOP turn decision
We are playing 3 handed. Villain I have marked as a blaster. They have almost no raise folds preflop. They are very lose and spewy.
We are 100 BB effective
Preflop: Hero has Ac Th 9h 8c in sb
Villain raises to 3.4BB, hero 3 bets to 11BB, BB folds, Villain calls
Flop: Qd Tc 3d
Hero bets 11.5BB (1/2 pot), Villain calls
Turn: Jc
Hero checks, villain bets 14BB (1/3 pot), hero?
I played with the solver and it likes a 1/2 pot on this flop with my hand and it goes 3/4 Pot if I have a flush draw. On the turn, it seems odd that the villain would bet so small with 2 flush draws on a wet board. Do you lead the turn here and just stick it in or do something else? The villain can be pretty wide in this spot, IMO.
2 Replies
I can go either way on the turn: bet or check/decide. With this small bet vs. someone who is loose and spewy, I check/raise.
Please put pot sizes on each street -- I know you say 1/2 and 1/4, but it still makes it easier.
We are playing 3 handed. Villain I have marked as a blaster. They have almost no raise folds preflop. They are very lose and spewy.
We are 100 BB effective
Preflop: Hero has Ac Th 9h 8c in sb
Villain raises to 3.4BB, hero 3 bets to 11BB, BB folds, Villain calls
Flop: Qd Tc 3d
Hero bets 11.5BB (1/2 pot), Villain calls
Turn: Jc
Hero checks, villain bets 14BB (1/3 pot), hero?
I played with the solver and it likes a 1/2 pot on this flop with my hand and it goes 3/4 Pot if I have a flush draw. On the tur
i like the turn check, with the intention to CR pot.
reason: if you bet, and he just calls, you still don't know where you stand, and there's a ton of river cards that can make life very difficult for you. if he checks behind, you now know you're ahead, and can extract value on a safe river, or re-evaluate when it's a difficult river.
if he bets as expected, you cr bc you for sure have the range advantage (you are way more likely to have AK in your hand than him), and in the unlikely case that he actually has it, you still have outs.
the way you describe his style i'd rather put him on some 2 pair combo, may be with a gutter or shitty fl draw
