Top trips on paired 7 high board
Hi all,
I've had an interesting situation and I'm not sure if I played it correctly, so would appreciate your opinion on that:
PLO100 6-max Zoom on Pokerstars, 150BB deep, villain has me covered
It was folded to the SB (Villain) which opens to 3BB
I cold call with A875 ss
Flop comes 7c7d2s
SB bets 50%
I call
Turn comes a Ks.
SB bets again 50%
I raise full pot
SB calls
River comes 3s giving me the nut flush now
SB checks
I value-bet 75% pot
SB raises all in
What would you do?
2 Replies
I’d prefer raising the flop over the turn as SB can have KK in this line fairly often.
We aren’t folding tho in this line as played given the amount. He can only have KK and K7 for value that beats you. If he has any other 7 with a FD you win. I ask myself if I can ever beat value I call.
Need stats to make an exploitative fold. He did bet a bit more than theory on each street so you can fold a lil more from an exploit perspective and not be exploited yourself but I’ve seen solves where people default to 50% on paired boards instead of 33%. I’d deviate with weaker 7s not this one with the NF. Good players will turn AK with a hi flush blocker into a bluff here often enough.
Fold. Doubt he is calling the turn raise with a hand that doesn't beat the nut flush. He is only in for 12BB before that and now he is going to put in another 60BB to set up river bluff? Almost certainly has KK or K7, or even KK7.
