Should be no brainer
Don't really need a spoiler here. Feel this should really always be a fold anyways, but didn't find it in the moment because can't believe how many one outers have gotten in the past few days. Dumb reason. Also should have asked about bad beat jackpot which I was under. I'm struggling to find combos that get me anywhere close to being good 2/3 of the time.
15 ante bomb pot 5 card eight handed
Villain is UTG and hero is UTG+1. Sitting at 4k effective. Villain is pretty nitty and straightforward. Generally potting nuts. Although earlier that night he surprised me in 4 card by potting top two with a flush draw on a broadway possible board two streets after I 3-bet out of position. Board AQT two spades then 6 hearts putting out two hearts.
Hero has A7764 nut spades
KQ3r
T77
Villain bets pot 120. Hero flats. Everyone else folds.
KQ35 two spades
T77T two hearts
Villains pots 360. Hero calls.
KQ35J no spades come in
T77T4 no hearts come in
Villain pots 1080. Hero ?
Given that he bet out UTG, that really narrows him down to like TT or maybe like AJT with KK/QQ/KQ but I don't think he even bets that. Given that my top doesn't come in and I have only pair of 7's that lose to pair of T's, I'm feeling like it's not even close and I should always be folding. On the river, like even JT only (which doesn't make a bunch of sense) with KK/QQ/KQ is 2*3*(6 choose 2)*(33 - 1 for the one T) is 2880 combos. But on the river TTxxx is (35 choose 3)=6545 combos. But maybe there's hands I'm missing he can bet. I honestly think it's like the dumbest call ever to make.
It really seems like this call has to be lighting money on fire.
9 Replies
The only hands that should be betting the flop are T7 TT 77. Does he know that?
I prefer re-pot the turn to call.
River call fine as played.
Obviously raise turn.
Never seen quads over quads on plo5 , very rare .
What is he potting flop and turn with from up front? The only things I can think of are AJT with KK/QQ/KQ. I'm not really sure what we're freerolling on the turn except that. And that's a waaaaay harder hand to have.
Why would he pot with the kind of hands you give hem ?
It was regular PLO and it was online, but I lost quads over quads on back to back days playing $25/$50 PLO 6max on Party Poker back in the day. 1st day I flopped quads against his top set/FH and he rivered quads for a 40K pot. Second day I flopped middle set against top set, turned quads and then he rivered quads for another 30K pot. Didn't play much $25/$50 PLO on Party after that lol.
I'm not saying it's not possible,but it's rare . For me it never happened, over 100k hands .
In order to play correctly we must give reasonable ranges .
Giving the villian , a range of quads once he bets pot is a bad game , specially on e he bets on 2 boards.
We assume we are locked in on the 2nd board.
Then we are most likely freeroling on the turn.
