Thin Value Shove with Second Nuts in Limped Pot

I think it's between call or fold.
Shoving is a bit crazy.

Why can't the tag folded 33? fish has 9x?
I think most fishes fold 33 on flop to a 3bet unless they overvalue their hands like a whale.

Your hand is a bit faced up once you check/call turn.

Fold pre

Ez game

Why did you check the turn and then not raise when the villain put in $200? You wan't to keep piling the money in. I would have bet turn for $220 and if the villain raises I get it in there.

As played, I shove river.

There's only three combos of 97 which have you beat. Other than that it's like one combo of 33 and a whole bunch of 9x combos that villain could be overplaying.

I probably should’ve made a small bet on the turn. Not sure how I feel about a large bet.

But I wasn’t sure how I’d feel if I got raised on a turn lead. It’s a limped pot with 50 SPR on the flop.

I didn’t like his turn sizing and decided to play defense and check-call.

Then on the river I changed my mind when he bet only 200. I decided it was more likely he had 33xx than 97xx (I figured the Euro pro folded 9xxx instead of 33xx).

So I shoved for value because we’ve been messing with each other, albeit in smaller pots.

(I doubt he’s overplaying bare 9xxx, but I guess it’s possible.)

I think raising (river) is the normal play against a weak player choosing that sizing.

I dont think Euro is ever folding 33. Had Euro shown a tendenacy to limp early postion with hands like AAxx -TTxx. If not then I think you may be right and Euro folds a weak 9, now that I think about it more.

I'm more inclined to say that if the villain is a fish there is a greater likelihood they overvalue all of their 9x

Yeah in my experience, weaker PLO players play their flopped underboats really fast to protect 9xxx from drawing out. Thats why I really thought fish had 33xx and Euro folded 9xxx with middle cards. Plus not many 33xx Euro can open-limp from MP with.