SB squeeze on AQQKK runout - NL10
Mostly looking for guidance ott.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (SB): 309.3 BB
BB: 100 BB
UTG: 118 BB
CO: 103.5 BB
BTN: 111.5 BB
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ J♦
fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, BTN calls 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 12 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 9.5 BB
Flop: (27.5 BB, 2 players) Q♥ Q♦ A♥
Hero bets 8.7 BB, BTN calls 8.7 BB
Turn: (44.9 BB, 2 players) K♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 31 BB, Hero calls 31 BB
River: (106.9 BB, 2 players) K♥
Hero checks, ?
BTN has 21% vpip,17% pfr, 7% 3b, so range otf I think it's its mid pocket pairs like TT to 88, strong offsuits like AQo, AJo, KQo and suited broadways like AJ-ATs, KQ-KTs. Maybe a little wider like QJs or similar too? Don't think he has AQs at all or too much AQo since he would 3b all or most of these.
I don't think I should cbet too much here with the range I give him but still think I can get away with it a bit as I think people are unlikely to raise enough bluffs here so makes it a bit more appealing to me, plus I have QQ, AA and more AQ than him too. Also having an ace makes it less likely he has nuts too. When he calls I think mostly going to be some slowplay nuts, top pair and some draws
Not sure if betting the turn is good or not, I think I only benefit really from maybe folding out some chops, don't imagine I get called by worse much. Against this sizing maybe I should fold? Main reason I call is that I didn't give him credit of having enough Qx after flop call, but probably still underbluffed
Then river I just check range here, in hindsight though thinking about my range I'll actually have a lot of AK so could donk jam these + some bluffs, but I assume he just jams all his full houses anyway.
4 Replies
i like using a small size turn as a block to see a river for cheap. we want to get value from AcXc, AsXs, KJs, KTs, and charge heart draws. in theory he shouldn't have too many suited aces or heart draws but they seem like normal candidates for flatting BTN at 10NL. check fold river seems good here.
Generally, the pool has less bluff in the float range in position than out of position in 3Bet Caller spots.
Float Turn OOP
Spoiler
Float Turn IP
Spoiler
This is because opponents more often check the turn with their draws, receive a free river card, and realize their equity.
Therefore, I am not against folding already on the turn against the default NL10 reg.
Folding on the river as played.
I also don't mind a small block bet on the turn as @ponker says.
Microlimits are characterized by their passivity and we can actively exploit this.
Generally, the pool has less bluff in the float range in position than out of position in 3Bet Caller spots.
Float Turn OOP
Spoiler
Float Turn IP
Spoiler
This is because opponents more often check the turn with their draws, receive a free river card, and realize their equity.
Therefore, I am not against folding already on the turn against the default NL10 reg.
Folding on the river as played.
I also don't mind a small block bet on the turn as @ponker says.
Microlimits are characterized by their passivity and we can
Thanks for the extra analysis too. Is this looking at opponent call cbet and then bet turn? So for OOP turn donks, IP x/b?
