3 of a kind facing large raise on river
PokerStars - $2 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 268.73 BB
CO: 100 BB
BTN: 118.94 BB
SB: 101.09 BB
Hero (BB): 100 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5♣ 7♣
fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) T♥ 3♦ 5♥
Hero checks, BTN bets 1.57 BB, Hero calls 1.57 BB
Turn: (8.64 BB, 2 players) 5♠
Hero checks, BTN bets 5.75 BB, Hero raises to 15 BB, BTN calls 9.26 BB
River: (38.64 BB, 2 players) 4♣
Hero bets 27.86 BB, BTN raises to 99.87 BB and is all-in, Hero ???
Easy fold or are we too high up in our range? I usually don't check/raise 75s on the turn so since I have it at a small frequency maybe I can call. Thoughts?
7 Replies
Basically bottom of your value range OTR, and it doesn't seem like a great bluff catching spot vs most regs.
We can XR flop some freq
I'm surprised how 'bluff-catchery' a solver plays this spot in general. turn is mixed but mostly called. When we do XR it jams some 5x combos but not this one. For 75cc it likes 61% then folding more often than not to the jam.
That said, when playing stations I don't think it's too ambitious to elevate these combos up a few notches as not expecting V to find enough folds with OPs and Tx. So fastplaying probably fine/slightly better. AP it looks foldable though. He's not bluffing often enough vs our nutt3d line.
Turn seems like a good spot to lead.
OTR we should have multiple sizes and our specific hand might want to go smaller.
Folding as played.
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I don't think this is ever a bluff, so bad trips is probably a fold.
I ended up calling and he had 54s. Oops. I've seen this player sit at a 5000NL table before so it made me think that maybe he might be able to bluff here, but maybe I got in my own head on this one.
you’ll rarely see solver raise trips with no kicker OTT, it’s mostly with K/A sidecard
extremely underbluffed node by villain
(in my opinion, need data on this)
so my preference is to overfold,
but if we have to call with some of our
trips bluffcatchers some frequency, i guess 75 would be decent in terms of blocking villain’s striaght jams.
however i presume the decision will be indifferent in solverland.