Aces part 2
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software
NL Holdem 2(BB)
HJ ($247.71)
HERO ($312.65)
BTN ($232.71) [VPIP: 16.3% | PFR: 14% | AGG: 50% | Hands: 44]
SB ($401) [VPIP: 20% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 25% | Hands: 10]
BB ($202.90) [VPIP: 23.1% | PFR: 23.1% | AGG: 75% | Hands: 13]
UTG ($202.45) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 16.7% | AGG: 100% | Hands: 12]
Dealt to Hero: A♣ A♦
UTG Folds, HJRaises To $4, HERO Raises To $14, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds, HJ Calls $10
Hero SPR on Flop: [7.54 effective]
Flop ($31): 9♣ 8♦ 9♥
HJ Checks, HERO Bets $8.73 (Rem. Stack: $289.92), HJ Raises To $30.55 (Rem. Stack: $203.16), HERO Calls $21.82 (Rem. Stack: $268.10)
Turn ($92.10): 9♣ 8♦ 9♥ Q♣
HJ Checks, HERO Checks
River ($92.10): 9♣ 8♦ 9♥ Q♣ Q♠
HJ Bets $203.16 (allin), HERO ?
Doesn't seem like a spot to slowplay a FH on the turn. Too many dead hands will keep putting in money, and he's never going to bluff.
Stuff like this is just SPR based in my opinion, I think your point is valid on a 3-4 SPR turn but not as much on a 2 SPR turn. I can just jam river either way when starting stacks are less than 150bbs like I did here.
Solver agrees, if you run a 200bb sim vs a 100bb in this spot. The 200bb sim is betting turn much more often with 88.
I'm note sure even if 88 or 9x are strong enough to jam, even if they call too wide.
I think once you raise flop with this hand , this is the perfect turn to keep betting.
