MP VS SB with river jam?
It seems to me that my opponent still had a king rather than an ace. And we block straights with ten. There is an assumption that he was bluffing a missed draw.
Still, I am more inclined to call, what do you think about this?
Villain stats:
VP 67, FPR 13, FCB 20 of 50 hands
PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 100 BB
Hero (MP): 133.84 BB
CO: 100 BB
BTN: 100 BB
SB: 69.84 BB
BB: 74.64 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♥ T♠
fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 2.6 BB, fold
Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) K♣ A♦ J♣
SB bets 6.68 BB, Hero calls 6.68 BB
Turn: (20.36 BB, 2 players) 2♦
SB checks, Hero checks
River: (20.36 BB, 2 players) K♠
SB bets 26.44 BB, Hero???
2 Replies
I think we have a value bet on the turn. Fish will never fold his Kx, Jx, draw hands. Bet something like 50-60% of the pot looks okay.
Usually, the size of the fish corresponds to their hand strength and I tend to fold on such a river card if you don't have reads that are the standard size of your opponent.
Stats and shortstack leaning heavily into agro eejit land. Still, feels slightly value heavy with the river OB. It's close. I wouldn't worry too much either outcome
