(LOW) 50z Can I ever get away from this?

(LOW) 50z Can I ever get away from this?

Villain was a 29 VPIP Japanese (stereotypically passive?)

GG Poker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 110.02 BB
SB: 154.62 BB
BB: 134.04 BB
Hero (UTG): 259.96 BB
MP: 114.64 BB
CO: 118.08 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q A

Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 11 BB, fold, Hero calls 8.5 BB

Flop: (23 BB, 2 players) Q A J
SB bets 7.6 BB, Hero calls 7.6 BB

Turn: (38.2 BB, 2 players) 5
SB bets 28.66 BB, Hero calls 28.66 BB

River: (95.52 BB, 2 players) 7
SB bets 107.36 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 107.36 BB

SB shows T K (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 39%, Flop 82%, Turn 91%)
Hero shows Q A (Two Pair, Aces and Queens)
(Pre 61%, Flop 18%, Turn 9%)
SB wins 305.74 BB

Can I hero fold the river?

23 January 2024 at 02:45 PM
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8 Replies



Result will skew replies, don’t post results.

Don’t we have more stats other than 29 vpip here? It’s pretty important when it comes to river


Sorry it is my first post on the forum. No more stats as it is GG. From memory they had quite a high 3bet %.


Value hands that beat us: AA, QQ, JJ, 55, KTs - 12 combos (perhaps not all 55)
Value hands that we beat: AJ - 6 combos (if only AJs, then 1 combo).

Then there might be some bluff thrown in, e.g. JTcc, or someone value-owning themselves with AK. On the other hand they might not 3-bet AJo from the SB. Looks like a fold but maybe I'm biased because of results.


by pokerpoker12 k

Sorry it is my first post on the forum. No more stats as it is GG. From memory they had quite a high 3bet %.

Hey there is an option here that you can let PT4 do all the nice stuff easy. Here is my set up


Then all you have to do is pull up this Hand History Viewer and click on the little blue box with a check mark


and then paste here


by pokerpoker12 k

Villain was a 29 VPIP Japanese (stereotypically passive?)

River: (95.52 BB, 2 players) 7
SB bets 107.36 BB and is all-in,

Can I hero fold the river?

What do we know vs passive players who are blasting their stack into the middle?

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I have no idea if Japanese players are passive or not by stereotype, I'm just going off your assumption.

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We fold, right?


Solver never folds but you can probably make the sick exploit fold OTR. Especially when deeper. The 3BW flops are very underbluffed in 3bps + tight positions.


We can fold this deep; population is underbluffing here.

Do we raise sets otf?

Sent from my SM-A146U using Tapatalk


Yes thank you - these are very thoughtful responses.

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