Bluffs @ 25 NL - River Raise - 4 to a straight
PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.10/$0.25 - 6 players
UTG (Hero): $40.03 (160 bb)
MP: $21.49 (86 bb)
CO: $37.59 (150 bb)
BU: $31.49 (126 bb)
SB: $64.57 (258 bb)
BB: $46.57 (186 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with 7♣ 7♦
Hero raises to $0.55, 3 players fold, SB calls $0.45, 1 fold
Flop: ($1.35) 5♦ Q♥ J♠ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($1.35) T♠ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
River: ($1.35) K♣ (2 players)
SB bets $0.32, Hero raises to $1.75
Thoughts? SB seems reggish. Figured that villains range was littered with suited broadways so didn't think cbets on flop/turn were necessary. Felt I repped an Axss hand just looking for other opinions
3 Replies
Most suited BW will 3bet pre if he is a reg. You can bet flop for small like 1/4, checking is ok with this hand. Turn is also ok, you can turn some pp into a bluff this is really strong card for you, but you want to bluff ones with spade.
River-You need around 45% of folds. Do you have more than that? He will have decent chunk of snap calls with Ax, he can also have 9x which probably wont fold, so hard to say if he will over fold. If you think he will bet bigger with Ax than is great.
smaller raise accomplishes the same result. against reg it’s fine but don’t try this against fish cuz they’ll only value bet a str8 on these 4str8 runouts.
You need 51% folds OTR.
Alpha = Risk/(Risk + Reward) = $1.75/(1.75+1.67) = ~51%
You should start betting the turn though as X-X lines are very overfolded and we can bluff a lot of rivers.
