Bluff catch in 3bet pot
V is 31 / 20 / 11 over 340 hands.
Yatahay Network - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 297 BB
BTN: 73 BB
SB: 93 BB
BB: 84.5 BB
UTG: 153.5 BB
Hero (MP): 107.5 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♣ Q♠
UTG raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 7.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 5 BB
Flop: (16.5 BB, 2 players) K♠ 6♦ 7♥
UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn: (16.5 BB, 2 players) 9♣
UTG bets 10.5 BB, Hero calls 10.5 BB
River: (37.5 BB, 2 players) 7♣
UTG bets 30 BB, Hero ??
V shouldn't have much Kx here.
5 Replies
I would bet flop. As played I'd call down. Villain might even be value betting hands that you beat (JJ, TT).
Why doesn’t he have Kx here?
Yeah not sure why he can’t have Kx. You block KQ that’s it. Some players won’t 4bet AK in these positions also btw
Turn and river look pretty value heavy to me
I block KQ, and I think AK 4 bets pre, although V can call sometimes with AK. Is he calling with KJo or KTo? What about KTs? The only Kx I think V has much of is KJs.
Villain does have some sets and 67s in their range as well. K9s+ is def there, in micro world with seemingly a bit stationy stats at least some off-suit BW's as well I think, maybe even K8s or K7s.
I think you have to fold, I don't expect you to be ahead more than 30% of the time here. Call is at most indifferent. GTOW says it's indifferent, but it would also c-bet range on the flop so there is that, and would surely fold if villains range has off-suit broadways there as well...