How to Get Max Value on Turned Set
V is 14 / 13 / 4 over 114 hands.
In game I wasn't sure if I should just call turn. This player was fairly tight so I didn't think V would lead AK twice. I chose to raise turn to set up a jam on the river.
Yatahay Network - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: 103 BB
Hero (UTG): 210.5 BB
CO: 105.5 BB
BTN: 131 BB
SB: 167.5 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5♣ 5♥
Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, SB raises to 8.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 6 BB
Flop: (18 BB, 2 players) 4♣ 3♦ J♥
SB bets 4.5 BB, Hero calls 4.5 BB
Turn: (27 BB, 2 players) 5♦
SB bets 20 BB, Hero raises to 53.5 BB, SB calls 33.5 BB
River: (134 BB, 2 players) 8♥
SB checks, Hero bets 134 BB
3 Replies
Seems fine. If he doesn't lead river, you will have a hard time getting stacks in. Your turn raise makes the river jam more palatable. You can also get called by turned flush draws. That might give up river. That said, AJ and QQ-AA probably still bet river for more than half pot and then your jam wouldn't be as much for him to call. And he might have some tripple barrel bluffs.
Hope that maybe he can put you on 65s, AdQd, KdQd, or something like that.
In retrospect, maybe slightly sizing up the turn so we don't have to pot the river to get stacks in to make his river call easier. But in practice I probably would pick between a pot sized raise or a half pot raise, and pot seems too big, so I would probably choose a half pot raise too.
In retrospect, maybe slightly sizing up the turn so we don't have to pot the river to get stacks in to make his river call easier. But in practice I probably would pick between a pot sized raise or a half pot raise, and pot seems too big, so I would probably choose a half pot raise too.
SB started the hand with 167.5 BB so the river bet is about a 3/4 pot bet (SB has 100 BB left OTR).
No reason to do anything but raise turn 100% of the time. At 2nl at least like 80% of people are felting an overpair. We could maybe go a little bigger ott, but that sizing seems good
Think your read that this v is unlikely to bet twice with AK is correct, at this level you see so many nitregs who are afraid to put any substantial amount of chips in if they don't have it